The potential for a Winter Storm to affect NC is still looking likely, models remain very unorganized. With support of many models I am confident enough to add the the accumulating snowfall that is likely map . It includes Hickory and points west to see snowfall, areas east of Hickory remain in the possible section. Many ingredients are coming together to allow for a Winter Storm this weekend across NC, a cold high pressure to our north and a developing coastal low to the south are prefect for a winter storm NC. Just how those ingredients come together will ultimately impact our storm. It looks to be a classic setup for the Carolinas, with cold air to the north, and a wet system moving in from the south in the Gulf. The questions, of course, are what track will it take, how much cold air is available, what type or types of precipitation will we see, and how much. These details will be tough to nail down until we get a little closer. Let me remind you, many snowfall amounts maps are being rapidly shared. Snowfall maps greater than 3 days out are simply wrong, no one knows how much snow or ice will fall yet.
TRACK: Important to remember, that small differences in the storm track make a huge difference. Track 3 along the coast favor snow for everyone west of the track. Track 1 (inland track) favors rain for most of everyone but the mountains. The track between (Green-White) favor an icy mix mess for Triad and foothills, while mountains see a beautiful snow and triangle sees a cold rain with points to the east.
I can say with confidence there will be a storm/ low this weekend, but the track and who sees rain, snow, and or ice is still up in the air.
Right now models have all solutions, meaning any can occur. Stay with us throughout the week for updates regarding this changing situation.
Here’s a guideline of our forecast:
Wednesday- make or break day
Thursday- First Call Snowfall map
Friday Second or maybe third call, everyone panics
Saturday- Final call Saturday Night- Event begins..
Stay tuned for more updates later today and this week, as models begin to get a better handle on the situation.