top of page

Tropical Update: The tropics are beginning to get more active. Watching!

ncwxauthority

August 11, 2026 at 2:20:12 PM

🌀 Tropical Update: Good afternoon, everyone. I'm sure everyone is sick of working on this fine Tuesday, so as you take your scroll break from work, I thought you'd love to read my tropical update. In true fashion as we head toward the start of schools/colleges, the tropics are coming alive, and this year is no different. I am, and forecasters at the National Hurricane Center are monitoring two main areas for potential tropical development in the Atlantic Ocean and two areas in the Pacific Ocean, with one showing a potential threat to Hawaii.


In the Atlantic, we have an area of disturbed weather in the North Atlantic moving away from the United States that has a low chance 20% of some Tropical Development over the next 5-7 days, but does not pose any threat to NC!


Down in the Main Development Region of the Atlantic, we've had several tropical waves that are moving off Africa over the next 5-10 days, and some are trying to show signs of development. There is now a 70% from the National Hurricane Center that a Tropical Depression or Storm will develop in this area. There remains high wind shear and dry air, so it'll face an uphill battle as it moves generally westward across the Atlantic. Since the system has not even developed, let's take models with a grain of salt and not jump to too many conclusions, but the threat to North Carolina at this point is rather low. So there's no reason to worry at this point.


Image 2: Is a graphic I created to give you an idea how long it takes tropical systems to travel across the Atlantic Ocean (NOT A FORECAST), just an example. This location is 10-14 days away, and it may not even survive the trek across. There could be some enhanced moisture to parts of the Caribbean Islands which they very much need.


Over in the Pacific, there is an area of disturbed weather over 1k miles east southeast of the Hawaiian Islands that has a high chance of becoming a Tropical Depression or Storm. Interests in the Hawaiian Islands should closely


monitor the progress of this system.


I'll keep you posted all season long; nothing to worry about right now in NC!

Mountains

110°F

Raleigh area

CADEN NELSON

CADEN NELSON

May like weather coming late this week, and pollen levels start increasing

Mar 2
1 min read

May-like weather is coming this week, the 70s and even some 80s are next up. A long-lasting warm-up with late April/May-like temperatures expected starting Wednesday through early next week at least, temperatures will be in the upper 60s and 70s for most areas, with some areas into the low 80s at times. Along the coast (thanks to cooler water temps) and in the mountains, it will be more so in the 60s, but everyone else should see an extended period of sunshine and well-above-average temperatures in the 70s and 80s.



Pollen: The great pollening has begun across most of Central and Eastern NC. Pollen levels are already elevated and will move into high levels later this week and into the weekend. As the growing season is well underway across NC, welcome to spring! So if you're sneezing and have congestion, this is probably why. Don't forget your allergy medicines.


 
 
 

1 Comment


Sue F. Ross
Mar 02

Thank you for your helpful updates, Ethan. We all depend on your predictions.

Like

Don't Miss a Forecast

Subscribe to emails so you don't miss a thing!

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • Instagram

Thanks for subscribing!

bottom of page