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Wednesday: Scattered showers around first then maybe a risk of strong to severe storms.
Hey everyone, let's talk about the Wednesday forecast. There could be a couple of strong-to-severe storms on Wednesday afternoon, especially across the Central/Northern parts of Eastern NC, but it is far from certain! I'll explain that a shortwave will move through the state tomorrow morning, early morning across the mountains and foothills, and through the morning across Central and Eastern sections. It'll bring clouds and scattered showers, no severe weather expected with this round.
šThis could limit destabilization that would result in really no severe weather threat on Wednesday afternoon, but models handle this usually horribly.
-IF* the atmosphere is able to recover on Wednesday afternoon, there will be some upper-level ingredients from a strengthening upper-level jet due to the incoming cold front. This could result in widely scattered showers and thunderstorms developing across the Central/Northern sections of the state, then pushing east in the late afternoon and into the evening.
šThere could be a limited severe weather threat with an isolated damaging winds threat or even a brief tornado threat, but that is IF storms are able to redevelop. So what we're hoping for on Wednesday afternoon is clouds and cooler temps, and not sunshine and warmer temps. So we will watch the further north you are in the state, the better chance of an isolated severe storm on Wednesday afternoon/evening, early overnight. No, even if storms form, not everyone will see them.
- As always, I'll be watching and keep you posted on my thoughts and the trends over the next 24 hours, no reason to panic by any means!
-Ethan
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