Tropical Update: The tropics are beginning to get more active. Watching!

ncwxauthority

August 11, 2026 at 2:20:12 PM

🌀 Tropical Update: Good afternoon, everyone. I'm sure everyone is sick of working on this fine Tuesday, so as you take your scroll break from work, I thought you'd love to read my tropical update. In true fashion as we head toward the start of schools/colleges, the tropics are coming alive, and this year is no different. I am, and forecasters at the National Hurricane Center are monitoring two main areas for potential tropical development in the Atlantic Ocean and two areas in the Pacific Ocean, with one showing a potential threat to Hawaii.

In the Atlantic, we have an area of disturbed weather in the North Atlantic moving away from the United States that has a low chance 20% of some Tropical Development over the next 5-7 days, but does not pose any threat to NC!

Down in the Main Development Region of the Atlantic, we've had several tropical waves that are moving off Africa over the next 5-10 days, and some are trying to show signs of development. There is now a 70% from the National Hurricane Center that a Tropical Depression or Storm will develop in this area. There remains high wind shear and dry air, so it'll face an uphill battle as it moves generally westward across the Atlantic. Since the system has not even developed, let's take models with a grain of salt and not jump to too many conclusions, but the threat to North Carolina at this point is rather low. So there's no reason to worry at this point.

Image 2: Is a graphic I created to give you an idea how long it takes tropical systems to travel across the Atlantic Ocean (NOT A FORECAST), just an example. This location is 10-14 days away, and it may not even survive the trek across. There could be some enhanced moisture to parts of the Caribbean Islands which they very much need.

Over in the Pacific, there is an area of disturbed weather over 1k miles east southeast of the Hawaiian Islands that has a high chance of becoming a Tropical Depression or Storm. Interests in the Hawaiian Islands should closely

monitor the progress of this system.

I'll keep you posted all season long; nothing to worry about right now in NC!

Mountains

110°F

Raleigh area

CADEN NELSON

THE COLDEST AIR OF THE SEASON COMING

ncwxauthority

Oct 15, 2019

1 min read

Time to break out the jackets, the coldest air of the season is expected after the passage of a cold front Wednesday night. For the Mountains and Foothills frost and a freeze is likely Wednesday night and for sure Thursday night. As you can see, this will be the coldest air of the season with most locations across the state in the 40s and 30s. Legend has it the coldest air of the season arrives with the state fair, well this year that is true!

Wednesday night temperatures will drop rapidly into the 40s and even 30s in the mountains a light frost is possible in the mountains.

Another reinforcing round of colder air will follow for Thursday night into Friday, expecting a freeze in the mountains with a frost in the foothills to about Hickory.

The Mountains and Foothills will need to cover sensitive vegetation Wednesday night and Thursday night.

*Welcome rain*

Another round of welcome rain will move in late tonight into tomorrow ahead of an approaching cold front. Don't get your hopes up we are only expecting generally .25" to about a 1" of rain. This will certainly not be a drought-busting rainfall. Make sure you have your rain gear ready in the morning. Here's a look at the projected rainfall across the state.