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Active Weather is ahead; rounds of storms are likely, with some Flash Flooding possible.

Ethan Clark

July 21, 2026 at 8:08:00 PM

Alright guys, let's talk, since it appears everyone in their brother and 3rd cousin once removed has plans this week and into the weekend! Unfortunately, if you have outdoor plans, you'll be at the mercy of Mother Nature for the next few days. An approaching front will bring a very active period of weather through Saturday at least across North Carolina, and if you haven’t had rain yet by Saturday, I am pretty confident you'll have rainfall!


WHAT: A front will move into the state and stall Wednesday night into Thursday; where the stalling occurs will greatly determine who sees potentially significant rainfall through Saturday, which would also have the potential to have Flash Flooding, which is currently favoring somewhere across Central/Eastern NC. Even with drought condtions excessive rainfall just runs off and results in Flash Flooding. Yes, we can flood in droughts.


Wednesday PM/Evening (Image 2): Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop, with a limited severe weather risk, with damaging winds as the main threat along the front, which appears to be stalled over parts of Central/Eastern. A level 2/5 risk of Severe Weather has been placed by the Storm Prediction Center; there could be a brief/limited Tornado risk Wednesday evening into the overnight hours (watching)


Thursday: Waves of on-and-off showers and thunderstorms will be possible across the state on and off, favoring Central and Eastern NC. Some could be heavy at times, resulting in potential flash flooding for some. Low severe risk at this point and much cooler temps in the 70s/80s for most areas due to considerable clouds.


Friday: The highest storm chances/rain will be in Central and Southern/Southeastern/Eastern sections of the state. Not a washout, but storms definitely around.

Unsettled weather will continue into the weekend; not a washout by any means, but better chances for more storms and rain the further south and east you are.


The Bottom Line: We need the rain, but all at once could result in some Flash Flooding. I'll be watching over the coming days and pinpoint where exactly as we get a clearer picture. Stay tuned for updates; here are just some thoughts!

-Ethan

Mountains

110°F

Raleigh area

CADEN NELSON

CADEN NELSON

POWER OUTAGES EXPECTED AS AN ICE STORM HITS TONIGHT FOR SOME

Well the news that no one wants to hear, a MAJOR ice storm is expected for some parts of NC tonight.

All signs point toward a major ice storm for parts of the Piedmont, Yadkin Valley, and northern mountains( High Country). My forecast has been pretty consistent for the past few days, have updated the ICE map this afternoon to help everyone better understand everything. Some snow and sleet is possible through the afternoon and evening, expecting everything to change to freezing rain by later evening. Freezing rain could add up very quickly. Just a thin coating of ice will cause major travel problems.


FORECAST: Based on the current short-range and medium-range models have adjusted some, also something to note models do very bad with ice events. -PINK: Light glaze of ice accrual up to .10" (1/10") this is from Roxboro, Durham, Charlotte, and Murphy. You will only see problems with roads early Sunday before it should get better. -DARKISH BLUE: Ice amounts higher glaze to .25" (1/4") right at the critical point, some areas Asheville, Asheboro, Franklin, Columbus, and Newland. Basically foothills, mountain, and southern Piedmont. Should not see huge power outages some weaken trees will come down. -PURPLE: Major ice storm expected here, ICE accrual up to .50" (1/2") this will lead to widespread power outages and down trees. Areas affected: Piedmont, Yadkin Valley, and northern mountains. Greensboro, Winston Salem, Wilkesboro, Reidsville, Lexington, Hickory, Boone, Todd, and Elkin




What's the difference between each type.



MPACTS: Expect power outages especially where ice amounts approach.50" - Roads are very hazardous - Downed trees -Power outages more than one day

More updates to come later this evening as we follow trends, please stay safe and be prepared for power outages if you are in the Purple area.

 
 
 

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