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The week ahead turning hot again.

Ethan Clark

July 13, 2026 at 7:15:33 PM

The Weather Headlines across the great state of North Carolina for everyone, don't be caught unaware!

Today is a more active, cooler day with scattered showers, some storms, and widespread clouds. We will begin to see a change in the weather starting Tuesday.


-Tuesday, the cold front breaks down, we will start to see a ridge of high pressure build back, and some sunshine returns to most of the state. Highs will be in the 80s to near 90° for most areas. Storm/rain chances are much lower, but a couple of isolated to scattered showers and storms can't be ruled out, especially south, and some areas to the east seem more favored.


Wednesday-Friday: Partly to mostly sunny skies are expected, the ridge of high pressure really takes over, and the heat is back in full force. Highs in the 90s to near 100° each day for most areas. The high will be well in control of our weather, with sinking air and very limited storm chances on Wednesday and Thursday. Most are dry and hot.

Friday is still hot, with a slightly better chance of some pop-up storms.


The North Carolina Weekend: It looks hot and sunny with highs in the 90s to near 100°. A few hit or miss scattered PM storms look to be around on Saturday and Sunday afternoon/evening across the state, no washouts by any means, typical summertime stuff. We will get more details as we move towards the weekend.

As always, I'll keep you updated all week long!

Mountains

110°F

Raleigh area

CADEN NELSON

CADEN NELSON

COASTAL LOW TO BRING FLASH FLOODING AND SEVERE WEATHER WEDNESDAY

After a dry Tuesday, a coastal low will bring cooler weather and widespread rainfall across parts of the state Wednesday.


WHAT: An area of low pressure will develop off the North Carolina coast tonight, bringing scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms to Central and Eastern NC with scattered showers to the mountains. A high pressure system to the north will create for a Cold air damming situation across Central and Western NC, the set up will be just like a winter storm just without the winter part. Along the coast are the areas of most concern heavy rainfall is expected 2-4" of rain will lead to minor flooding. Additionally, a high shear environment is expected and areas, where instability is greater, will lead to the potential of weak Tornadoes.


RAINFALL: The main axis of heavy rainfall will be along and east of I95 to the coast, areas along the coast in red above will see 2-4" of rain with locally higher amounts to 5"+ where thunderstorms train. Orange area or Central NC (Fayetteville, Raleigh, Durham, Goldsboro) scattered thunderstorms will drop generally 1" with locally higher amounts to 2". Western NC areas that don't need rainfall will generally see about a haft of an inch. Flash Flooding is possible along the coast, generally areas that flood first will be the main concern.



SEVERE WEATHER: Due to warmer temperatures and dew points in the 70s along the coast, The Storm Prediction Center has issued a marginal risk of Severe Weather Wednesday for the coast. Wind profiles show low-level veering with height, which when combined with the late-day increase in lift may support a few weakly rotating storms capable of localized wind damage or perhaps a brief/weak tornado.



TEMPERATURES: Due to extremely low dew points in the 40s and 50s with the falling of rain through the atmosphere, When water evaporates, the evaporation process requires taking heat from the environment in order for the evaporation to occur. With the removal of heat from the air, the air cools. The amount of water that is able to evaporate into a volume of air impacts the cooling. Evaporative cooling can occur until the relative humidity reaches 100% (saturated air). Thus, initially dry and warm air will produce the greatest amount of evaporate cooling when this air is saturated through the evaporation process. The combination of these and a high-pressure system to north will create for a Cold air damming event (when cold air gets trapped east of the mountains) well below temperatures are expected. Highs will be in the upper 60s in the mountains, low and mid-70s to the east. The highest temperatures will be along the coast where a warm front will be.


Wednesday will be a good day to stay inside in bed if you can, stay tuned for updates should any Flash Flooding or Severe Warnings are issued along the coast. I'll keep you posted like normal.

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