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Active Weather is ahead; rounds of storms are likely, with some Flash Flooding possible.

Ethan Clark

July 21, 2026 at 8:08:00 PM

Alright guys, let's talk, since it appears everyone in their brother and 3rd cousin once removed has plans this week and into the weekend! Unfortunately, if you have outdoor plans, you'll be at the mercy of Mother Nature for the next few days. An approaching front will bring a very active period of weather through Saturday at least across North Carolina, and if you haven’t had rain yet by Saturday, I am pretty confident you'll have rainfall!


WHAT: A front will move into the state and stall Wednesday night into Thursday; where the stalling occurs will greatly determine who sees potentially significant rainfall through Saturday, which would also have the potential to have Flash Flooding, which is currently favoring somewhere across Central/Eastern NC. Even with drought condtions excessive rainfall just runs off and results in Flash Flooding. Yes, we can flood in droughts.


Wednesday PM/Evening (Image 2): Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop, with a limited severe weather risk, with damaging winds as the main threat along the front, which appears to be stalled over parts of Central/Eastern. A level 2/5 risk of Severe Weather has been placed by the Storm Prediction Center; there could be a brief/limited Tornado risk Wednesday evening into the overnight hours (watching)


Thursday: Waves of on-and-off showers and thunderstorms will be possible across the state on and off, favoring Central and Eastern NC. Some could be heavy at times, resulting in potential flash flooding for some. Low severe risk at this point and much cooler temps in the 70s/80s for most areas due to considerable clouds.


Friday: The highest storm chances/rain will be in Central and Southern/Southeastern/Eastern sections of the state. Not a washout, but storms definitely around.

Unsettled weather will continue into the weekend; not a washout by any means, but better chances for more storms and rain the further south and east you are.


The Bottom Line: We need the rain, but all at once could result in some Flash Flooding. I'll be watching over the coming days and pinpoint where exactly as we get a clearer picture. Stay tuned for updates; here are just some thoughts!

-Ethan

Mountains

110°F

Raleigh area

CADEN NELSON

CADEN NELSON

Accumulating snow is likely for parts of the mountains.


 Let it snow: Here comes more snow for some across parts of the higher elevations of the mountains, accumulating snow is likely Wednesday night into Thursday, especially above 3,000FT. The odds of seeing some accumulating snow look to be quite high for areas above 3,000 Feet. With wind gusts ranging from 35-45mph, blowing snow will be possible in the higher elevations along the TN border. A strong cold front will pass through the state Wednesday night into Thursday, bringing colder weather statewide for the end of the week. In the wake of the cold front, gusty NW winds will develop, which will set the stage for a classic NW flow snow event across the North Carolina mountains. A northwest flow snow event (NWFS) occurs when cold, dry air from the northwest moves over the Appalachian Mountains, producing snow due to orographic lift (terrain forcing).

-Looking at the latest data, I feel pretty confident there will be some accumulating snow mainly above 3,000 feet in the North Carolina mountains and especially as you head above 3,500 feet. At this point, some of the highest communities along the North Carolina/Tennessee line could see a couple of inches of snow. The big winners for snow are above 3,500ft into the Smokies and along the North Carolina-Tennessee border, with several inches of snow, like along the highest peaks, for example, the Smokies mountains, Mount Mitchell, the western-facing ski resorts, and parts of the high Blue Ridge Parkways. A few ridgetop locations will could exceed 9+ inches, especially in the Smokies, Kuwohi (Clingmans Dome), and Max Patch, Wolf Laurel, and very high locations of the mountains, Roan Mountain/ Carvers Gap. Snowfall amounts are highly dependent on elevation; the higher you are, the better. Snow will start this Wednesday afternoon and continue intermittently through Thursday. The valley and lower elevations could see some flakes fly Wednesday night into Thursday, but really not expecting much at this point, maybe a dusting. Slick roads are likely across parts of the mountains, especially above 3,000FT. Be careful traveling. I'll monitor and update if things change.

 
 
 

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