Active Weather is ahead; rounds of storms are likely, with some Flash Flooding possible.

Ethan Clark

July 21, 2026 at 8:08:00 PM

Alright guys, let's talk, since it appears everyone in their brother and 3rd cousin once removed has plans this week and into the weekend! Unfortunately, if you have outdoor plans, you'll be at the mercy of Mother Nature for the next few days. An approaching front will bring a very active period of weather through Saturday at least across North Carolina, and if you haven’t had rain yet by Saturday, I am pretty confident you'll have rainfall!

WHAT: A front will move into the state and stall Wednesday night into Thursday; where the stalling occurs will greatly determine who sees potentially significant rainfall through Saturday, which would also have the potential to have Flash Flooding, which is currently favoring somewhere across Central/Eastern NC. Even with drought condtions excessive rainfall just runs off and results in Flash Flooding. Yes, we can flood in droughts.

Wednesday PM/Evening (Image 2): Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop, with a limited severe weather risk, with damaging winds as the main threat along the front, which appears to be stalled over parts of Central/Eastern. A level 2/5 risk of Severe Weather has been placed by the Storm Prediction Center; there could be a brief/limited Tornado risk Wednesday evening into the overnight hours (watching)

Thursday: Waves of on-and-off showers and thunderstorms will be possible across the state on and off, favoring Central and Eastern NC. Some could be heavy at times, resulting in potential flash flooding for some. Low severe risk at this point and much cooler temps in the 70s/80s for most areas due to considerable clouds.

Friday: The highest storm chances/rain will be in Central and Southern/Southeastern/Eastern sections of the state. Not a washout, but storms definitely around.

Unsettled weather will continue into the weekend; not a washout by any means, but better chances for more storms and rain the further south and east you are.

The Bottom Line: We need the rain, but all at once could result in some Flash Flooding. I'll be watching over the coming days and pinpoint where exactly as we get a clearer picture. Stay tuned for updates; here are just some thoughts!

-Ethan

Mountains

110°F

Raleigh area

CADEN NELSON

Wednesday, June 1st Tropical Update; Tropical Depression likely to develop in the Gulf soon

ncwxauthority
Jun 1, 2022
1 min read

Today is the first day of Hurricane Season and we're off to a quick start, on Wednesday evening The National Hurricane Center continues to monitor an area of low pressure off the coast of the Yucatan Peninsula. This low-pressure area is part of the remains of Hurricane Agatha from the Pacific Ocean. I expect this system to move into the Gulf of Mexico over the next day or so, where the National Hurricane Center gives it an 80% chance of development. It will continue to move north and east towards South Florida as a Tropical Depression of Storm; the overall steering pattern takes it towards Florida regardless of development. I expect heavy rainfall, gusty winds, and Flash Flooding in parts of Florida be aware if you're there or traveling there. Right now, it does not appear it will be a Hurricane; the conditions are not that favorable due to high shear. After Florida, the system will move east into the Atlantic Ocean, and it will likely be picked up by a front that will keep it away from NC. It is a low threat as of now to NC for direct impacts, but some indirect effects of High Surf and Rip Currents are likely this weekend into next week. As I've done for the past 6 years, I'll watch the system until it is north of NC or no longer there, but for now, I am not worried about it directly hitting us; no models show that.