top of page

​

Tropical Update: The tropics are beginning to get more active. Watching!

ncwxauthority

August 11, 2026 at 2:20:12 PM

šŸŒ€ Tropical Update: Good afternoon, everyone. I'm sure everyone is sick of working on this fine Tuesday, so as you take your scroll break from work, I thought you'd love to read my tropical update. In true fashion as we head toward the start of schools/colleges, the tropics are coming alive, and this year is no different. I am, and forecasters at the National Hurricane Center are monitoring two main areas for potential tropical development in the Atlantic Ocean and two areas in the Pacific Ocean, with one showing a potential threat to Hawaii.


In the Atlantic, we have an area of disturbed weather in the North Atlantic moving away from the United States that has a low chance 20% of some Tropical Development over the next 5-7 days, but does not pose any threat to NC!


Down in the Main Development Region of the Atlantic, we've had several tropical waves that are moving off Africa over the next 5-10 days, and some are trying to show signs of development. There is now a 70% from the National Hurricane Center that a Tropical Depression or Storm will develop in this area. There remains high wind shear and dry air, so it'll face an uphill battle as it moves generally westward across the Atlantic. Since the system has not even developed, let's take models with a grain of salt and not jump to too many conclusions, but the threat to North Carolina at this point is rather low. So there's no reason to worry at this point.


Image 2: Is a graphic I created to give you an idea how long it takes tropical systems to travel across the Atlantic Ocean (NOT A FORECAST), just an example. This location is 10-14 days away, and it may not even survive the trek across. There could be some enhanced moisture to parts of the Caribbean Islands which they very much need.


Over in the Pacific, there is an area of disturbed weather over 1k miles east southeast of the Hawaiian Islands that has a high chance of becoming a Tropical Depression or Storm. Interests in the Hawaiian Islands should closely


monitor the progress of this system.


I'll keep you posted all season long; nothing to worry about right now in NC!

Mountains

110°F

Raleigh area

CADEN NELSON

CADEN NELSON

Tropical Update: New area to watch off the coast

Writer: Ethan Clark
Ethan Clark
Jun 15, 2024
2 min read

šŸŒ€ Tropical Update: It is a new day with more areas to monitor for Tropical Development over the next seven days. On Saturday evening, the National Hurricane Center was monitoring two areas for possible development. One was located in the southwest Gulf of Mexico and has a 60% chance of development. Regardless, this system will not impact North Carolina.




Area two is located off the Southeastern United States, and is new as of today; this is not related to the Invest 90L that brought some increased surf and Rip Currents to the NC coast. An area of low pressure could form by the middle part of next week

a few hundred miles northeast of the central Bahamas. There is some potential for some slow development from this system over the next 5-7 days, and a Tropical Depression or Storm could form off the SE United States Coast at some point this week. Right now, nothing to really worry about here in North Carolina, but due to the close proximity to the NC coast, we should keep a watchful eye on it. A few models develop this and move it west to the north-westward over the next few days. Since the system has not even developed, there is little data on it, and model data should be taken with a grain of salt. There is high pressure to the north, and the strongest system would be sent more northward towards the Carolinas while a weaker system would head into Florida and Georgia.


As normal, I'll be watching this, and you can expect daily updates on this system over the next few days. There is nothing to panic about, and it could very well be nothing. We're in a time when we should remain alert regardless.

Comments

Don't Miss a Forecast

Subscribe to emails so you don't miss a thing!

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • Instagram

Thanks for subscribing!

bottom of page