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Active Weather is ahead; rounds of storms are likely, with some Flash Flooding possible.

Ethan Clark

July 21, 2026 at 8:08:00 PM

Alright guys, let's talk, since it appears everyone in their brother and 3rd cousin once removed has plans this week and into the weekend! Unfortunately, if you have outdoor plans, you'll be at the mercy of Mother Nature for the next few days. An approaching front will bring a very active period of weather through Saturday at least across North Carolina, and if you haven’t had rain yet by Saturday, I am pretty confident you'll have rainfall!


WHAT: A front will move into the state and stall Wednesday night into Thursday; where the stalling occurs will greatly determine who sees potentially significant rainfall through Saturday, which would also have the potential to have Flash Flooding, which is currently favoring somewhere across Central/Eastern NC. Even with drought condtions excessive rainfall just runs off and results in Flash Flooding. Yes, we can flood in droughts.


Wednesday PM/Evening (Image 2): Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop, with a limited severe weather risk, with damaging winds as the main threat along the front, which appears to be stalled over parts of Central/Eastern. A level 2/5 risk of Severe Weather has been placed by the Storm Prediction Center; there could be a brief/limited Tornado risk Wednesday evening into the overnight hours (watching)


Thursday: Waves of on-and-off showers and thunderstorms will be possible across the state on and off, favoring Central and Eastern NC. Some could be heavy at times, resulting in potential flash flooding for some. Low severe risk at this point and much cooler temps in the 70s/80s for most areas due to considerable clouds.


Friday: The highest storm chances/rain will be in Central and Southern/Southeastern/Eastern sections of the state. Not a washout, but storms definitely around.

Unsettled weather will continue into the weekend; not a washout by any means, but better chances for more storms and rain the further south and east you are.


The Bottom Line: We need the rain, but all at once could result in some Flash Flooding. I'll be watching over the coming days and pinpoint where exactly as we get a clearer picture. Stay tuned for updates; here are just some thoughts!

-Ethan

Mountains

110°F

Raleigh area

CADEN NELSON

CADEN NELSON

Tropical Update: New area to watch off the coast

🌀 Tropical Update: It is a new day with more areas to monitor for Tropical Development over the next seven days. On Saturday evening, the National Hurricane Center was monitoring two areas for possible development. One was located in the southwest Gulf of Mexico and has a 60% chance of development. Regardless, this system will not impact North Carolina.




Area two is located off the Southeastern United States, and is new as of today; this is not related to the Invest 90L that brought some increased surf and Rip Currents to the NC coast. An area of low pressure could form by the middle part of next week

a few hundred miles northeast of the central Bahamas. There is some potential for some slow development from this system over the next 5-7 days, and a Tropical Depression or Storm could form off the SE United States Coast at some point this week. Right now, nothing to really worry about here in North Carolina, but due to the close proximity to the NC coast, we should keep a watchful eye on it. A few models develop this and move it west to the north-westward over the next few days. Since the system has not even developed, there is little data on it, and model data should be taken with a grain of salt. There is high pressure to the north, and the strongest system would be sent more northward towards the Carolinas while a weaker system would head into Florida and Georgia.


As normal, I'll be watching this, and you can expect daily updates on this system over the next few days. There is nothing to panic about, and it could very well be nothing. We're in a time when we should remain alert regardless.

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