Tropical Update: The tropics are beginning to get more active. Watching!

ncwxauthority

August 11, 2026 at 2:20:12 PM

🌀 Tropical Update: Good afternoon, everyone. I'm sure everyone is sick of working on this fine Tuesday, so as you take your scroll break from work, I thought you'd love to read my tropical update. In true fashion as we head toward the start of schools/colleges, the tropics are coming alive, and this year is no different. I am, and forecasters at the National Hurricane Center are monitoring two main areas for potential tropical development in the Atlantic Ocean and two areas in the Pacific Ocean, with one showing a potential threat to Hawaii.

In the Atlantic, we have an area of disturbed weather in the North Atlantic moving away from the United States that has a low chance 20% of some Tropical Development over the next 5-7 days, but does not pose any threat to NC!

Down in the Main Development Region of the Atlantic, we've had several tropical waves that are moving off Africa over the next 5-10 days, and some are trying to show signs of development. There is now a 70% from the National Hurricane Center that a Tropical Depression or Storm will develop in this area. There remains high wind shear and dry air, so it'll face an uphill battle as it moves generally westward across the Atlantic. Since the system has not even developed, let's take models with a grain of salt and not jump to too many conclusions, but the threat to North Carolina at this point is rather low. So there's no reason to worry at this point.

Image 2: Is a graphic I created to give you an idea how long it takes tropical systems to travel across the Atlantic Ocean (NOT A FORECAST), just an example. This location is 10-14 days away, and it may not even survive the trek across. There could be some enhanced moisture to parts of the Caribbean Islands which they very much need.

Over in the Pacific, there is an area of disturbed weather over 1k miles east southeast of the Hawaiian Islands that has a high chance of becoming a Tropical Depression or Storm. Interests in the Hawaiian Islands should closely

monitor the progress of this system.

I'll keep you posted all season long; nothing to worry about right now in NC!

Mountains

110°F

Raleigh area

CADEN NELSON

Tropical Update: National Hurricane Center tags a Tropical Wave for potential development

ncwxauthority

Jun 23, 2022

1 min read

On Thursday evening, the National Hurricane Center was monitoring a tropical wave in the Atlantic Main Development Region. It is very early for a tropical wave that comes off Africa to develop; this usually doesn't happen until August-October. In fact, waves have only developed a handful of times over the past 40 years from this area in June. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue showing some signs of organization; the National Hurricane Center says environmental conditions could be conducive for development. A Tropical Depression could develop early next week; I will monitor it, but nothing to worry about as of now. Historically, this is very rare, but honestly, at this point, anything is possible. It is Hurricane Season; we live in a state prone to hurricanes, so we need to be ready all season regardless. I'll keep you posted until the system is gone as usual, but no need to panic or anything like that. The NHC gives the wave a 40% of development over the next 5 days.