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Tropical Update: The tropics are beginning to get more active. Watching!

ncwxauthority

August 11, 2026 at 7:20:12 PM

🌀 Tropical Update: Good afternoon, everyone. I'm sure everyone is sick of working on this fine Tuesday, so as you take your scroll break from work, I thought you'd love to read my tropical update. In true fashion as we head toward the start of schools/colleges, the tropics are coming alive, and this year is no different. I am, and forecasters at the National Hurricane Center are monitoring two main areas for potential tropical development in the Atlantic Ocean and two areas in the Pacific Ocean, with one showing a potential threat to Hawaii.


In the Atlantic, we have an area of disturbed weather in the North Atlantic moving away from the United States that has a low chance 20% of some Tropical Development over the next 5-7 days, but does not pose any threat to NC!


Down in the Main Development Region of the Atlantic, we've had several tropical waves that are moving off Africa over the next 5-10 days, and some are trying to show signs of development. There is now a 70% from the National Hurricane Center that a Tropical Depression or Storm will develop in this area. There remains high wind shear and dry air, so it'll face an uphill battle as it moves generally westward across the Atlantic. Since the system has not even developed, let's take models with a grain of salt and not jump to too many conclusions, but the threat to North Carolina at this point is rather low. So there's no reason to worry at this point.


Image 2: Is a graphic I created to give you an idea how long it takes tropical systems to travel across the Atlantic Ocean (NOT A FORECAST), just an example. This location is 10-14 days away, and it may not even survive the trek across. There could be some enhanced moisture to parts of the Caribbean Islands which they very much need.


Over in the Pacific, there is an area of disturbed weather over 1k miles east southeast of the Hawaiian Islands that has a high chance of becoming a Tropical Depression or Storm. Interests in the Hawaiian Islands should closely


monitor the progress of this system.


I'll keep you posted all season long; nothing to worry about right now in NC!

Mountains

110°F

Raleigh area

CADEN NELSON

CADEN NELSON

Sunday, January 3rd, 2021 Forecast more clouds

Another messy/ ugh day ahead with rain early for some, then fog and clouds, maybe some intervals of the sun for some. Happy Sunday, North Carolina! Our last round of rain for 3-4 days will finally clear out of the state this morning; the best chance of rain through mid-morning is mainly east of rain with some scattered showers. The rest of the state will be in the low clouds and fog through the mid-late morning and even early afternoon. By the afternoon, we should start to see the thining of the clouds across the west and expanding to the east through the afternoon; some intervals of the sun is possible. Widespread clearing is likely by sunset, with full sunshine returning for the start of the workweek. We're slowly out of the cad/wedge, but temperatures should not be very good today; highs will be in the 30s and 40s across the mountains with upper 40s and 50s for most of Foothills to about Raleigh and Greenville. Eastern/Coastal and Southeastern NC will see highs in the 60s. Today is the last day of cloudy weather; full sunshine returns Monday.



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