Mountains

Strong to severe storm chance mainly across Eastern NC on Tuesday.

CADEN NELSON

⛈️ Severe Weather Update: Another round of strong to severe storms is possible today, but this time the threat shifts east and northeast into Eastern sections of the state. The Storm Prediction Center has upgraded the severe weather risk, placing most areas east and northeast of Raleigh under a level 2/5 risk and a level 1/5 risk for the rest of Central NC to about Greensboro. Why? Well, an approaching cold front moving into the mountains will trigger showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and evening.

Temperatures in the 80s and low 90s, with dew points in the lower 70s, should support CAPE values of 1500-2500 J/kg this afternoon and evening across parts of Central and Eastern NC. Scattered showers and thunderstorms should develop as early as lunchtime and be around through the evening from west to east, but not everyone will see rain or storms.

A couple of storms could turn strong to severe, mainly from 12-8PM across parts of Eastern and esp NE NC. The main threat is gusty to damaging straight-line winds and some small hail, but I can't with 100% confience rule out a brief tornado mainly across Eastern/NE NC in the level 2/5, but better (low chance further north and east in the level 2 and lower south in the level 2/5) because of a lower risk of storms.

The Bottom Line: A cold front is moving through the mountains, bringing a few showers as the atmosphere warms up, and showers and thunderstorms are expected east, and a few could be strong to severe. So no reason to panic, but just like Western areas saw yesterday, we should stay aware east. I'll be watching the radar and trends all day like normal. Stay tuned! We turn drier and cooler for Wednesday before our heat wave starts late week into next week.

-Ethan

Mountains

110°F

Raleigh area

CADEN NELSON

Strong to Severe Storms Possible, Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued.

ncwxauthority
Jun 24, 2024
1 min read

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH: The Severe Weather Threat has increased some for Eastern/Coastal NC; thus a Severe Thunderstorm Watch has been issued by the National Weather Service until 8PM for most of Eastern North Carolina. Warm and muggy conditions are already resulting in increased CAPE values all across Eastern NC up to 3000j/kg, allowing for scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms to develop.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected this afternoon across eastern North Carolina, in a hot and humid environment. Sufficiently strong winds aloft will result in a risk of locally damaging wind gusts and some hail in the most intense cells. The main threat for a few strong to Severe Storms will be along and East of I-95 to the coast from now until after sunset 8-9PM. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally produce tornadoes, although that threat is very low today. .

NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED UNDER THE WATCH ARE

BEAUFORT BERTIE BRUNSWICK

CAMDEN CARTERET CHOWAN

CRAVEN CURRITUCK DARE

DUPLIN GATES GREENE

HYDE JONES LENOIR

MARTIN NEW HANOVER ONSLOW

PAMLICO PASQUOTANK PENDER

PERQUIMANS PITT TYRRELL

I’ll keep you updated through the afternoon and evening, no reason to panic; widespread severe weather is not expected. A few strong to severe storms are possible.

-Ethan

Mountains

Mountains

Raleigh area

Strong to Severe Storms Possible, Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued.

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