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Mountains

Strong to severe storm chance mainly across Eastern NC on Tuesday.

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CADEN NELSON

CADEN NELSON

⛈️ Severe Weather Update: Another round of strong to severe storms is possible today, but this time the threat shifts east and northeast into Eastern sections of the state. The Storm Prediction Center has upgraded the severe weather risk, placing most areas east and northeast of Raleigh under a level 2/5 risk and a level 1/5 risk for the rest of Central NC to about Greensboro. Why? Well, an approaching cold front moving into the mountains will trigger showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and evening.


Temperatures in the 80s and low 90s, with dew points in the lower 70s, should support CAPE values of 1500-2500 J/kg this afternoon and evening across parts of Central and Eastern NC. Scattered showers and thunderstorms should develop as early as lunchtime and be around through the evening from west to east, but not everyone will see rain or storms.


A couple of storms could turn strong to severe, mainly from 12-8PM across parts of Eastern and esp NE NC. The main threat is gusty to damaging straight-line winds and some small hail, but I can't with 100% confience rule out a brief tornado mainly across Eastern/NE NC in the level 2/5, but better (low chance further north and east in the level 2 and lower south in the level 2/5) because of a lower risk of storms.




The Bottom Line: A cold front is moving through the mountains, bringing a few showers as the atmosphere warms up, and showers and thunderstorms are expected east, and a few could be strong to severe. So no reason to panic, but just like Western areas saw yesterday, we should stay aware east. I'll be watching the radar and trends all day like normal. Stay tuned! We turn drier and cooler for Wednesday before our heat wave starts late week into next week.


-Ethan

Mountains

110°F

Raleigh area

CADEN NELSON

CADEN NELSON

SEVERE WEATHER AND FLASH FLOODING TODAY

Well here we go again for the 5th week in a row another major storm system will move through NC, already seeing major problems in Western NC with River, creeks flooding, and Flash Flooding across much of western and southwestern NC. The Storm Prediction Center has just expanded the Severe Weather Risk to include all of Central and Eastern NC

Here's the risk outlined in green.

WHAT: Today is one of those days were we have high shear, but low cape so it is hard for storms to get Severe. Furthermore, the models are showing the potential for isolated damaging winds and tornadoes. We also have a boundary setting over central NC and the Sandhills later this afternoon, here is where the greatest chance of one or two tornadoes will be. With Severe parameters being a little higher, I am concerned about spotty damaging winds and an isolated Tornado or two widespread Severe Weather not expected! Here's a look at the tornado risk.


TIMING: The greatest chance of Severe Weather will be between 12PM-6PM today!


Here's a look at the future radar for about 4PM, you can see a line of storms moving through Central NC.


Severe Threats: Tornado threat mostly over Central NC and the Sandhills, will be isolated one to maybe two storms could have an isolated tornado widespread tornadoes will not happen.


High Temps for Today


FLOODING: A rather serious situation has developed over Western NC moderate river flooding is occurring along the French Broad. Heavy rain of 2-4 inches occurring on top of already saturated soils is producing significant runoff within the French Broad River basin. The French Broad River from Rosman to Blantyre is already above Minor Flood Stage and rising, causing widespread flooding of low-lying areas and water crossings. Flooding of low-lying areas adjacent to the river near Fletcher is underway and worsening. It will take some time for the floodwave to crest and travel down the French Broad River. Additional rainfall of 1-2 inches will cause the French Broad River to reach Minor Flood Stage at Fletcher so the current Flood Advisory is being upgraded to a Flood Warning.





Stay Weather Aware this afternoon and evening, more information and updates will be posted if any storms become severe. Widespread Severe Weather is not expected, also not convinced Severe Weather will be a big deal today think we will see like a few weeks ago were it is a bust.

 
 
 

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