Well here we go again for the 5th week in a row another major storm system will move through NC, already seeing major problems in Western NC with River, creeks flooding, and Flash Flooding across much of western and southwestern NC. The Storm Prediction Center has just expanded the Severe Weather Risk to include all of Central and Eastern NC
Here's the risk outlined in green.
WHAT: Today is one of those days were we have high shear, but low cape so it is hard for storms to get Severe. Furthermore, the models are showing the potential for isolated damaging winds and tornadoes. We also have a boundary setting over central NC and the Sandhills later this afternoon, here is where the greatest chance of one or two tornadoes will be. With Severe parameters being a little higher, I am concerned about spotty damaging winds and an isolated Tornado or two widespread Severe Weather not expected! Here's a look at the tornado risk.
TIMING: The greatest chance of Severe Weather will be between 12PM-6PM today!
Here's a look at the future radar for about 4PM, you can see a line of storms moving through Central NC.
Severe Threats: Tornado threat mostly over Central NC and the Sandhills, will be isolated one to maybe two storms could have an isolated tornado widespread tornadoes will not happen.
High Temps for Today
FLOODING: A rather serious situation has developed over Western NC moderate river flooding is occurring along the French Broad. Heavy rain of 2-4 inches occurring on top of already saturated soils is producing significant runoff within the French Broad River basin. The French Broad River from Rosman to Blantyre is already above Minor Flood Stage and rising, causing widespread flooding of low-lying areas and water crossings. Flooding of low-lying areas adjacent to the river near Fletcher is underway and worsening. It will take some time for the floodwave to crest and travel down the French Broad River. Additional rainfall of 1-2 inches will cause the French Broad River to reach Minor Flood Stage at Fletcher so the current Flood Advisory is being upgraded to a Flood Warning.
Stay Weather Aware this afternoon and evening, more information and updates will be posted if any storms become severe. Widespread Severe Weather is not expected, also not convinced Severe Weather will be a big deal today think we will see like a few weeks ago were it is a bust.