top of page

Mountains

Strong to severe storm chance mainly across Eastern NC on Tuesday.

Caden.png

CADEN NELSON

CADEN NELSON

⛈️ Severe Weather Update: Another round of strong to severe storms is possible today, but this time the threat shifts east and northeast into Eastern sections of the state. The Storm Prediction Center has upgraded the severe weather risk, placing most areas east and northeast of Raleigh under a level 2/5 risk and a level 1/5 risk for the rest of Central NC to about Greensboro. Why? Well, an approaching cold front moving into the mountains will trigger showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and evening.


Temperatures in the 80s and low 90s, with dew points in the lower 70s, should support CAPE values of 1500-2500 J/kg this afternoon and evening across parts of Central and Eastern NC. Scattered showers and thunderstorms should develop as early as lunchtime and be around through the evening from west to east, but not everyone will see rain or storms.


A couple of storms could turn strong to severe, mainly from 12-8PM across parts of Eastern and esp NE NC. The main threat is gusty to damaging straight-line winds and some small hail, but I can't with 100% confience rule out a brief tornado mainly across Eastern/NE NC in the level 2/5, but better (low chance further north and east in the level 2 and lower south in the level 2/5) because of a lower risk of storms.




The Bottom Line: A cold front is moving through the mountains, bringing a few showers as the atmosphere warms up, and showers and thunderstorms are expected east, and a few could be strong to severe. So no reason to panic, but just like Western areas saw yesterday, we should stay aware east. I'll be watching the radar and trends all day like normal. Stay tuned! We turn drier and cooler for Wednesday before our heat wave starts late week into next week.


-Ethan

Mountains

110°F

Raleigh area

CADEN NELSON

CADEN NELSON

Scattered to Numerous Showers and Thunderstorms are Possible on Thursday. Low-end Severe Risk

 Thursday Storm Update: A cold front will drop through the state on Thursday, sparking showers and thunderstorms across the state. A few could be strong to potentially severe in the afternoon and evening. High CAPE Values and some shear will allow storms to develop.



 

‼️ WHAT: Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are likely Thursday afternoon and evening across the entire state, producing gusty winds, cloud-to-ground lightning, and heavy rainfall. A couple of storms could be strong to severe with damaging winds, and the SPC has issued a level 1/5 risk of Severe Weather for the whole state. Looking over the latest data, I can't rule out an upgrade to a level 2/5 risk for part of the Central and Eastern part of the state on Thursday. Will monitor, regardless of the official threat a couple strong to severe storms are possible. Damaging winds/heavy rainfall are the main threats.

However, due to the front and some boundaries around, I can't completely rule out an isolated spin-up tornado, but that threat is very low.

 

⏰ Timing: 12-1AM dropping south and east through the day, a couple of storms/showers possible in the morning, mainly along the Outer Banks nonsevere.

 

👀 The Bottom Line: The coverage of storms will be higher on Thursday compared to the past few days, and we could see a couple strong to maybe severe storms in the afternoon and evening. Stay weather-aware and move indoors if you hear thunder. I'll be monitoring.

Comments

Don't Miss a Forecast

Subscribe to emails so you don't miss a thing!

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • Instagram

Thanks for subscribing!

bottom of page