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Tropical Update: The tropics are beginning to get more active. Watching!

ncwxauthority

August 11, 2026 at 2:20:12 PM

🌀 Tropical Update: Good afternoon, everyone. I'm sure everyone is sick of working on this fine Tuesday, so as you take your scroll break from work, I thought you'd love to read my tropical update. In true fashion as we head toward the start of schools/colleges, the tropics are coming alive, and this year is no different. I am, and forecasters at the National Hurricane Center are monitoring two main areas for potential tropical development in the Atlantic Ocean and two areas in the Pacific Ocean, with one showing a potential threat to Hawaii.


In the Atlantic, we have an area of disturbed weather in the North Atlantic moving away from the United States that has a low chance 20% of some Tropical Development over the next 5-7 days, but does not pose any threat to NC!


Down in the Main Development Region of the Atlantic, we've had several tropical waves that are moving off Africa over the next 5-10 days, and some are trying to show signs of development. There is now a 70% from the National Hurricane Center that a Tropical Depression or Storm will develop in this area. There remains high wind shear and dry air, so it'll face an uphill battle as it moves generally westward across the Atlantic. Since the system has not even developed, let's take models with a grain of salt and not jump to too many conclusions, but the threat to North Carolina at this point is rather low. So there's no reason to worry at this point.


Image 2: Is a graphic I created to give you an idea how long it takes tropical systems to travel across the Atlantic Ocean (NOT A FORECAST), just an example. This location is 10-14 days away, and it may not even survive the trek across. There could be some enhanced moisture to parts of the Caribbean Islands which they very much need.


Over in the Pacific, there is an area of disturbed weather over 1k miles east southeast of the Hawaiian Islands that has a high chance of becoming a Tropical Depression or Storm. Interests in the Hawaiian Islands should closely


monitor the progress of this system.


I'll keep you posted all season long; nothing to worry about right now in NC!

Mountains

110°F

Raleigh area

CADEN NELSON

CADEN NELSON

Scattered Storms return for the weekend!

Writer: Ethan Clark
Ethan Clark
May 3, 2024
1 min read

Hey folks, I am being inundated with questions about the forecast for Saturday. It seems everyone has an outdoor plan this weekend. Unfortunately, our weather pattern will turn rather active over the next few days. Saturday scattered showers and thunderstorms are likely across the Western part of the state at any point in the day Central and Eastern NC will see storms hold off for the most part until the afternoon and evening. Nowhere will be a washout, but hit-or-miss storms are likely statewide, the highest coverage will be mainly west of Raleigh with just isolated storms for Eastern and Coastal NC.


Unfortunately, weather forecasting is only so good, and we can't pinpoint exactly which town will see storms at a certain period of time. The Bottom Line is there is a very high chance that folks from Raleigh West will see some rain at some point on Saturday, especially in the afternoon and evening. The good news, severe weather is not expected. Just gusty winds and heavy rain will accompany these storms/showers. So, if you have an outdoor plan this weekend have a plan B in place too.

 
 
 

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