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Tropical Update: The tropics are beginning to get more active. Watching!

ncwxauthority

August 11, 2026 at 2:20:12 PM

🌀 Tropical Update: Good afternoon, everyone. I'm sure everyone is sick of working on this fine Tuesday, so as you take your scroll break from work, I thought you'd love to read my tropical update. In true fashion as we head toward the start of schools/colleges, the tropics are coming alive, and this year is no different. I am, and forecasters at the National Hurricane Center are monitoring two main areas for potential tropical development in the Atlantic Ocean and two areas in the Pacific Ocean, with one showing a potential threat to Hawaii.


In the Atlantic, we have an area of disturbed weather in the North Atlantic moving away from the United States that has a low chance 20% of some Tropical Development over the next 5-7 days, but does not pose any threat to NC!


Down in the Main Development Region of the Atlantic, we've had several tropical waves that are moving off Africa over the next 5-10 days, and some are trying to show signs of development. There is now a 70% from the National Hurricane Center that a Tropical Depression or Storm will develop in this area. There remains high wind shear and dry air, so it'll face an uphill battle as it moves generally westward across the Atlantic. Since the system has not even developed, let's take models with a grain of salt and not jump to too many conclusions, but the threat to North Carolina at this point is rather low. So there's no reason to worry at this point.


Image 2: Is a graphic I created to give you an idea how long it takes tropical systems to travel across the Atlantic Ocean (NOT A FORECAST), just an example. This location is 10-14 days away, and it may not even survive the trek across. There could be some enhanced moisture to parts of the Caribbean Islands which they very much need.


Over in the Pacific, there is an area of disturbed weather over 1k miles east southeast of the Hawaiian Islands that has a high chance of becoming a Tropical Depression or Storm. Interests in the Hawaiian Islands should closely


monitor the progress of this system.


I'll keep you posted all season long; nothing to worry about right now in NC!

Mountains

110°F

Raleigh area

CADEN NELSON

CADEN NELSON

Rogue Wave Results in Chaos and Injuries Along Ventura Coastline

Dec 29, 2023
1 min read

A "rogue" wave wreaked havoc along the Ventura coastline on Thursday, crashing over a seawall and plunging the area into disarray. The unexpected surge not only inundated the vicinity but also swept bystanders and vehicles down the street, resulting in eight individuals being swiftly transported to the hospital, as confirmed by a spokesperson from the Ventura County Fire Department via social media.


Before the incident, the National Weather Service in the Bay Area had issued a High Surf Warning, warning the public of the potential of "very dangerous" waves, some as high as 40 feet.


In response to the heightened surf conditions, the Santa Cruz Fire Department issued an urgent advisory, prompting closures of Santa Cruz Wharf, Main Beach, and Cowell Beach. Low-lying areas along West Cliff witnessed flooding, with debris crashing ashore amid substantial waves reaching heights of 25 to 30 feet, according to the National Weather Service. Authorities are cautioning residents of rip currents, storm surges, and "sneaker" waves in the Santa Cruz area, urging everyone to remain indoors and away from the coastline for safety.


A video of the incident can be found below. Please note: This video is not censored and contains strong language. Credit: Ryder Christ (@RyderChristNews on X)



A High Surf Advisory remains in effect until 6PM pacific-time this evening, warning of "large breaking waves of 15 to 19 feet". A Coastal Flood Advisory remains in effect until 2PM pacific-time this afternoon, warning of "minor coastal flooding".


The NWS warns of impacts of flooding of lots, parks, roads, dangerous swimming conditions and localized beach erosion.

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