Tropical Update: The tropics are beginning to get more active. Watching!

ncwxauthority

August 11, 2026 at 7:20:12 PM

🌀 Tropical Update: Good afternoon, everyone. I'm sure everyone is sick of working on this fine Tuesday, so as you take your scroll break from work, I thought you'd love to read my tropical update. In true fashion as we head toward the start of schools/colleges, the tropics are coming alive, and this year is no different. I am, and forecasters at the National Hurricane Center are monitoring two main areas for potential tropical development in the Atlantic Ocean and two areas in the Pacific Ocean, with one showing a potential threat to Hawaii.

In the Atlantic, we have an area of disturbed weather in the North Atlantic moving away from the United States that has a low chance 20% of some Tropical Development over the next 5-7 days, but does not pose any threat to NC!

Down in the Main Development Region of the Atlantic, we've had several tropical waves that are moving off Africa over the next 5-10 days, and some are trying to show signs of development. There is now a 70% from the National Hurricane Center that a Tropical Depression or Storm will develop in this area. There remains high wind shear and dry air, so it'll face an uphill battle as it moves generally westward across the Atlantic. Since the system has not even developed, let's take models with a grain of salt and not jump to too many conclusions, but the threat to North Carolina at this point is rather low. So there's no reason to worry at this point.

Image 2: Is a graphic I created to give you an idea how long it takes tropical systems to travel across the Atlantic Ocean (NOT A FORECAST), just an example. This location is 10-14 days away, and it may not even survive the trek across. There could be some enhanced moisture to parts of the Caribbean Islands which they very much need.

Over in the Pacific, there is an area of disturbed weather over 1k miles east southeast of the Hawaiian Islands that has a high chance of becoming a Tropical Depression or Storm. Interests in the Hawaiian Islands should closely

monitor the progress of this system.

I'll keep you posted all season long; nothing to worry about right now in NC!

Mountains

110°F

Raleigh area

CADEN NELSON

Watching the Tropics

Ethan Clark
Jul 27, 2024
2 min read

🌀Tropical Update. Well, it appears the break in hurricane season is about to come to an end and the switch is about to flip for hurricane season. As of this morning the National Hurricane Center was monitoring An area of disturbed weather over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean is expected to interact with an approaching tropical wave during the next several days. There is a chance of development as this system approaches the Caribbean and Southeastern US next weekend.

‼️There are many unknowns with this system, not even a guarantee it’ll develop, so before you see scary overhyped model runs posted all over social media, I wanted to get you updated. We don’t know where it’ll go or how strong it’ll be yet, but the general motion is towards the SE United States next weekend. It is worth keeping an eye on it and making sure your hurricane preparedness plans are updated and ready, especially if you live along the coast. It would be best if you always had some hurricane supplies ready.

👀The second graphic is how long it takes for a Tropical System to reach the United States from the Atlantic Main Development Region on average. We’re talking about 7-10 days from now, no one has a damn clue where this system will be. However, I think we should keep an eye on it. I’ll be updating 24/7 over the next few days until there’s no way it can be a threat anymore.

😎The Bottom Line: Hurricane Season is here. And you should always be keeping an eye on things just in case. There is no reason to fall for hype or scary news articles or Facebook posts that show exactly where this system is going, how strong it’ll be, etc. right now, it is way too early in the game for this one. I’ll be here every step of the way like I always have been.