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Active Weather is ahead; rounds of storms are likely, with some Flash Flooding possible.

Ethan Clark

July 21, 2026 at 8:08:00 PM

Alright guys, let's talk, since it appears everyone in their brother and 3rd cousin once removed has plans this week and into the weekend! Unfortunately, if you have outdoor plans, you'll be at the mercy of Mother Nature for the next few days. An approaching front will bring a very active period of weather through Saturday at least across North Carolina, and if you haven’t had rain yet by Saturday, I am pretty confident you'll have rainfall!


WHAT: A front will move into the state and stall Wednesday night into Thursday; where the stalling occurs will greatly determine who sees potentially significant rainfall through Saturday, which would also have the potential to have Flash Flooding, which is currently favoring somewhere across Central/Eastern NC. Even with drought condtions excessive rainfall just runs off and results in Flash Flooding. Yes, we can flood in droughts.


Wednesday PM/Evening (Image 2): Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop, with a limited severe weather risk, with damaging winds as the main threat along the front, which appears to be stalled over parts of Central/Eastern. A level 2/5 risk of Severe Weather has been placed by the Storm Prediction Center; there could be a brief/limited Tornado risk Wednesday evening into the overnight hours (watching)


Thursday: Waves of on-and-off showers and thunderstorms will be possible across the state on and off, favoring Central and Eastern NC. Some could be heavy at times, resulting in potential flash flooding for some. Low severe risk at this point and much cooler temps in the 70s/80s for most areas due to considerable clouds.


Friday: The highest storm chances/rain will be in Central and Southern/Southeastern/Eastern sections of the state. Not a washout, but storms definitely around.

Unsettled weather will continue into the weekend; not a washout by any means, but better chances for more storms and rain the further south and east you are.


The Bottom Line: We need the rain, but all at once could result in some Flash Flooding. I'll be watching over the coming days and pinpoint where exactly as we get a clearer picture. Stay tuned for updates; here are just some thoughts!

-Ethan

Mountains

110°F

Raleigh area

CADEN NELSON

CADEN NELSON

Watching the Tropics

🌀Tropical Update. Well, it appears the break in hurricane season is about to come to an end and the switch is about to flip for hurricane season. As of this morning the National Hurricane Center was monitoring An area of disturbed weather over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean is expected to interact with an approaching tropical wave during the next several days. There is a chance of development as this system approaches the Caribbean and Southeastern US next weekend. 




‼️There are many unknowns with this system, not even a guarantee it’ll develop, so before you see scary overhyped model runs posted all over social media, I wanted to get you updated. We don’t know where it’ll go or how strong it’ll be yet, but the general motion is towards the SE United States next weekend. It is worth keeping an eye on it and making sure your hurricane preparedness plans are updated and ready, especially if you live along the coast. It would be best if you always had some hurricane supplies ready. 




👀The second graphic is how long it takes for a Tropical System to reach the United States from the Atlantic Main Development Region on average. We’re talking about 7-10 days from now, no one has a damn clue where this system will be. However, I think we should keep an eye on it. I’ll be updating 24/7 over the next few days until there’s no way it can be a threat anymore. 


😎The Bottom Line: Hurricane Season is here. And you should always be keeping an eye on things just in case. There is no reason to fall for hype or scary news articles or Facebook posts that show exactly where this system is going, how strong it’ll be, etc. right now, it is way too early in the game for this one. I’ll be here every step of the way like I always have been.

2 Comments


Guest
Jul 27, 2024

Honestly, you are the only one I follow for things like this. I will keep looking for your updates.

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Beverly Bergeron
Beverly Bergeron
Jul 27, 2024

Really appreciate this site so informative not alarming keeps you on your toes. Thank you.

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