top of page

The week ahead turning hot again.

Ethan Clark

July 13, 2026 at 7:15:33 PM

The Weather Headlines across the great state of North Carolina for everyone, don't be caught unaware!

Today is a more active, cooler day with scattered showers, some storms, and widespread clouds. We will begin to see a change in the weather starting Tuesday.


-Tuesday, the cold front breaks down, we will start to see a ridge of high pressure build back, and some sunshine returns to most of the state. Highs will be in the 80s to near 90° for most areas. Storm/rain chances are much lower, but a couple of isolated to scattered showers and storms can't be ruled out, especially south, and some areas to the east seem more favored.


Wednesday-Friday: Partly to mostly sunny skies are expected, the ridge of high pressure really takes over, and the heat is back in full force. Highs in the 90s to near 100° each day for most areas. The high will be well in control of our weather, with sinking air and very limited storm chances on Wednesday and Thursday. Most are dry and hot.

Friday is still hot, with a slightly better chance of some pop-up storms.


The North Carolina Weekend: It looks hot and sunny with highs in the 90s to near 100°. A few hit or miss scattered PM storms look to be around on Saturday and Sunday afternoon/evening across the state, no washouts by any means, typical summertime stuff. We will get more details as we move towards the weekend.

As always, I'll keep you updated all week long!

Mountains

110°F

Raleigh area

CADEN NELSON

CADEN NELSON

PATTERN CHANGE COMING; WIDESPREAD FREEZE EXPECTED FOR PART OF THE STATE FRIDAY

Our warmer conditions are about to be on there way out starting Friday; a significant pattern change is on the way for the state. Tuesday will be mostly cloudy, becoming overcast with highs in the 70s and 60s across the state. We will watch for the chance of a few isolated showers in the southern part of the state and the mountains


Here's a look at the daily forecast map!


Wednesday and Thursday (Halloween) we are watching an approaching cold front. The timing of the cold front will be critical to the Halloween forecast. Wednesday will be mostly cloudy with showers mainly in the afternoon across the state heaviest amounts in the mountains. Thursday, our next strong cold front arrives, the GFS is still a few hours faster than the Euro.



SCENARIO 1: The GFS has the cold front passing through the state by early afternoon, this would shut off the rain by evening. We would see mainly dry conditions for Halloween night!



SCENARIO 2: The Euro, which is slower than the GFS, would bring the cold front through the state mid to late afternoon and evening. This would bring showers and thunderstorms to the state during the afternoon and evening hours.


BOTTOM LINE: Rain is likely on Thursday the exact timing of the rain is still unknown, the amounts will be pretty light outside the foothills and mountains


RAINFALL amounts through Friday:



PATTERN CHANGE: No matter when the cold front arrives all signs point toward a major pattern change starting this week. We will likely see highs in the 60s and 50s statewide on Saturday and Sunday, lows below freezing in the mountains and 30s/40s elsewhere. The growing season in the mountains will likely end, the cooler weather looks to stay around as well.


Here's a look at low temperatures for Saturday night into Sunday morning.


GFS Model (weathermodels)


Stay tuned to North Carolina's Weather Authority Facebook page for more updates this week!

 
 
 

Comments


Don't Miss a Forecast

Subscribe to emails so you don't miss a thing!

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • Instagram

Thanks for subscribing!

bottom of page