Active Weather is ahead; rounds of storms are likely, with some Flash Flooding possible.

Ethan Clark

July 21, 2026 at 8:08:00 PM

Alright guys, let's talk, since it appears everyone in their brother and 3rd cousin once removed has plans this week and into the weekend! Unfortunately, if you have outdoor plans, you'll be at the mercy of Mother Nature for the next few days. An approaching front will bring a very active period of weather through Saturday at least across North Carolina, and if you haven’t had rain yet by Saturday, I am pretty confident you'll have rainfall!

WHAT: A front will move into the state and stall Wednesday night into Thursday; where the stalling occurs will greatly determine who sees potentially significant rainfall through Saturday, which would also have the potential to have Flash Flooding, which is currently favoring somewhere across Central/Eastern NC. Even with drought condtions excessive rainfall just runs off and results in Flash Flooding. Yes, we can flood in droughts.

Wednesday PM/Evening (Image 2): Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop, with a limited severe weather risk, with damaging winds as the main threat along the front, which appears to be stalled over parts of Central/Eastern. A level 2/5 risk of Severe Weather has been placed by the Storm Prediction Center; there could be a brief/limited Tornado risk Wednesday evening into the overnight hours (watching)

Thursday: Waves of on-and-off showers and thunderstorms will be possible across the state on and off, favoring Central and Eastern NC. Some could be heavy at times, resulting in potential flash flooding for some. Low severe risk at this point and much cooler temps in the 70s/80s for most areas due to considerable clouds.

Friday: The highest storm chances/rain will be in Central and Southern/Southeastern/Eastern sections of the state. Not a washout, but storms definitely around.

Unsettled weather will continue into the weekend; not a washout by any means, but better chances for more storms and rain the further south and east you are.

The Bottom Line: We need the rain, but all at once could result in some Flash Flooding. I'll be watching over the coming days and pinpoint where exactly as we get a clearer picture. Stay tuned for updates; here are just some thoughts!

-Ethan

Mountains

110°F

Raleigh area

CADEN NELSON

PATTERN CHANGE COMING; WIDESPREAD FREEZE EXPECTED FOR PART OF THE STATE FRIDAY

ncwxauthority
Oct 28, 2019
2 min read

Our warmer conditions are about to be on there way out starting Friday; a significant pattern change is on the way for the state. Tuesday will be mostly cloudy, becoming overcast with highs in the 70s and 60s across the state. We will watch for the chance of a few isolated showers in the southern part of the state and the mountains

Here's a look at the daily forecast map!

Wednesday and Thursday (Halloween) we are watching an approaching cold front. The timing of the cold front will be critical to the Halloween forecast. Wednesday will be mostly cloudy with showers mainly in the afternoon across the state heaviest amounts in the mountains. Thursday, our next strong cold front arrives, the GFS is still a few hours faster than the Euro.

SCENARIO 1: The GFS has the cold front passing through the state by early afternoon, this would shut off the rain by evening. We would see mainly dry conditions for Halloween night!

SCENARIO 2: The Euro, which is slower than the GFS, would bring the cold front through the state mid to late afternoon and evening. This would bring showers and thunderstorms to the state during the afternoon and evening hours.

BOTTOM LINE: Rain is likely on Thursday the exact timing of the rain is still unknown, the amounts will be pretty light outside the foothills and mountains

RAINFALL amounts through Friday:

PATTERN CHANGE: No matter when the cold front arrives all signs point toward a major pattern change starting this week. We will likely see highs in the 60s and 50s statewide on Saturday and Sunday, lows below freezing in the mountains and 30s/40s elsewhere. The growing season in the mountains will likely end, the cooler weather looks to stay around as well.

Here's a look at low temperatures for Saturday night into Sunday morning.