Active Weather is ahead; rounds of storms are likely, with some Flash Flooding possible.

Ethan Clark

July 21, 2026 at 8:08:00 PM

Alright guys, let's talk, since it appears everyone in their brother and 3rd cousin once removed has plans this week and into the weekend! Unfortunately, if you have outdoor plans, you'll be at the mercy of Mother Nature for the next few days. An approaching front will bring a very active period of weather through Saturday at least across North Carolina, and if you haven’t had rain yet by Saturday, I am pretty confident you'll have rainfall!

WHAT: A front will move into the state and stall Wednesday night into Thursday; where the stalling occurs will greatly determine who sees potentially significant rainfall through Saturday, which would also have the potential to have Flash Flooding, which is currently favoring somewhere across Central/Eastern NC. Even with drought condtions excessive rainfall just runs off and results in Flash Flooding. Yes, we can flood in droughts.

Wednesday PM/Evening (Image 2): Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop, with a limited severe weather risk, with damaging winds as the main threat along the front, which appears to be stalled over parts of Central/Eastern. A level 2/5 risk of Severe Weather has been placed by the Storm Prediction Center; there could be a brief/limited Tornado risk Wednesday evening into the overnight hours (watching)

Thursday: Waves of on-and-off showers and thunderstorms will be possible across the state on and off, favoring Central and Eastern NC. Some could be heavy at times, resulting in potential flash flooding for some. Low severe risk at this point and much cooler temps in the 70s/80s for most areas due to considerable clouds.

Friday: The highest storm chances/rain will be in Central and Southern/Southeastern/Eastern sections of the state. Not a washout, but storms definitely around.

Unsettled weather will continue into the weekend; not a washout by any means, but better chances for more storms and rain the further south and east you are.

The Bottom Line: We need the rain, but all at once could result in some Flash Flooding. I'll be watching over the coming days and pinpoint where exactly as we get a clearer picture. Stay tuned for updates; here are just some thoughts!

-Ethan

Mountains

110°F

Raleigh area

CADEN NELSON

High Fire Danger Remains! Little to no rain expected for the foreseeable future.

Ethan Clark
Apr 15
1 min read

🔥 I sound like a broken record, but it seems people are just assuming that there is no wildfire risk based on the messages I am getting. There remains a very high risk of wildfires, and will be for the foreseeable future, some days higher then others, but the common theme is things are dry and the drought is getting worse there is really no significant rainfall expected over the next 7-10 days and even beyond that things are not very set in stone that storms and rain chances come back! This is insane. Of the 554 wildfires that have burned since the burn ban took effect, only four have been determined to be the result of lightning strikes. The rest have been human-caused.

Most of the state is over 10 inches below normal, so we need a good amount of rain to catch up! High wildfire conditions are expected to continue today and persist until further notice, driven by extremely dry vegetation, low humidity, and at times gusty winds.

Tips: 🚒

Always dispose of cigarettes, matches, and other flammables properly. Be extremely careful when operating any machinery or equipment that could generate sparks. Avoid driving or parking vehicles over dry grass or leaves, as hot exhaust systems can ignite them.

I'll continue to post about as many new fires as show up, but now is a good time to use the community I've built, so please share anything you hear with me about new fires!

-Ethan