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Tropical Update: The tropics are beginning to get more active. Watching!

ncwxauthority

August 11, 2026 at 2:20:12 PM

🌀 Tropical Update: Good afternoon, everyone. I'm sure everyone is sick of working on this fine Tuesday, so as you take your scroll break from work, I thought you'd love to read my tropical update. In true fashion as we head toward the start of schools/colleges, the tropics are coming alive, and this year is no different. I am, and forecasters at the National Hurricane Center are monitoring two main areas for potential tropical development in the Atlantic Ocean and two areas in the Pacific Ocean, with one showing a potential threat to Hawaii.


In the Atlantic, we have an area of disturbed weather in the North Atlantic moving away from the United States that has a low chance 20% of some Tropical Development over the next 5-7 days, but does not pose any threat to NC!


Down in the Main Development Region of the Atlantic, we've had several tropical waves that are moving off Africa over the next 5-10 days, and some are trying to show signs of development. There is now a 70% from the National Hurricane Center that a Tropical Depression or Storm will develop in this area. There remains high wind shear and dry air, so it'll face an uphill battle as it moves generally westward across the Atlantic. Since the system has not even developed, let's take models with a grain of salt and not jump to too many conclusions, but the threat to North Carolina at this point is rather low. So there's no reason to worry at this point.


Image 2: Is a graphic I created to give you an idea how long it takes tropical systems to travel across the Atlantic Ocean (NOT A FORECAST), just an example. This location is 10-14 days away, and it may not even survive the trek across. There could be some enhanced moisture to parts of the Caribbean Islands which they very much need.


Over in the Pacific, there is an area of disturbed weather over 1k miles east southeast of the Hawaiian Islands that has a high chance of becoming a Tropical Depression or Storm. Interests in the Hawaiian Islands should closely


monitor the progress of this system.


I'll keep you posted all season long; nothing to worry about right now in NC!

Mountains

110°F

Raleigh area

CADEN NELSON

CADEN NELSON

FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TREACHEROUS TRAVEL WEDNESDAY AM

Jan 22, 2019
2 min read

The potential for freezing rain returns Wednesday morning across the Piedmont, foothills and mountains. The National Weather Service has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for freezing rain, which we warned about yesterday.


WHAT: As a warm front develops tonight above cold air sitting over the Carolinas, precipitation will develop. In the parts of our area where surface temperatures fall below freezing tonight, this precipitation will occur as freezing rain. A light accumulation of ice may cause treacherous road conditions overnight into Wednesday morning. The best chance of freezing rain will be from i85 west, see the map below. Clouds will move in this evening, before light freezing rain and freezing drizzle starts from the Triad west. A light wintery mix of sleet might start after midnight before changing to all freezing rain or freezing drizzle. The freezing rain will remain around until 9-10am when temperatures climb above freezing.


Freezing rain expected. Though less than a tenth of an inch of ice will accumulate, this will be enough to cause some roadways and sidewalks to become slick, creating hazardous travel conditions. The ground and soil temperatures are right around freezing and with temperatures below freezing, expect icing on Bridges, overpasses, decks, main roads ect. As warmer air moves in Wednesday mid-morning everything will change to rain and problems will go away.


Look at the Winter Weather Advisory in effect from 7PM this evening until 5am Wednesday: Alexander, Burke, Caldwell, Catawba, Cleveland, Davie, McDowell, Polk, Gaston, Rutherford, Henderson, Iredell, Lincoln, Jackson, Transylvania, Northern: Alleghany, Ashe, Rockingham, Stokes, Surry, Watauga, Wilkes, Yadkin. Eastern: Davidson, Forsyth, Guilford. These counties listed above will see Winter Weather Wednesday AM.

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while driving.




As always stay tuned for more updates on our Facebook page and website. If you have questions message the Facebook page, as the website message will not work..

 
 
 

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