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North Carolina will see some indirect impacts from Hurricane Isaias

Ethan Clark

October 8, 2026 at 11:50:44 AM

🌀 Hurricane Isaias Update: Good afternoon, everyone. I know you've been waiting for this; here's my forecast update on Isaias's indirect impacts on North Carolina this weekend. The positives: This is NOT a repeat of Helene by any means at all, so please don't think that! The weekend isn't a total washout; there will be dry time, and the storm is moving fast enough to clear out pretty quickly. The world is not ending here in NC, and we will be just fine. Don't stress. Isaias became a Hurricane overnight and will keep strengthening until landfall, and it will make landfall along the Florida/Alabama-Mississippi coast on Friday evening; significant impacts are likely in these areas. This update will cover impacts in NC, though. Even though Isaias's center will go into Tennessee and not impact NC directly, we will get indirect impacts from the outer bands and the surrounding front.

📌Here's how I think it'll play out:


RAIN: Scattered to isolated showers will be around across the state Saturday morning, and but there will be breaks and dry time for sure Saturday morning into the afternoon; coverage looks pretty hit or miss. Saturday afternoon and evening rain chances ramp up, especially west and along the coast, it seems; some rain could be heavy at times by the time the evening and overnight rolls along. Sunday morning rain will be around hit or miss throughout the state, and start clearing out Sunday PM/evening. The race in Charlotte is trending drier btw.



Amounts Image 2: Rainfall through Sunday PM, we will see generally 1-2 inches along the high mountains, and in Central and Northern NC. At this point, we're not expecting much flooding; we would only see some if a storm trains over the same area. Most of these areas desperately need the rain. 2-4 inches in the orange-area parts of the mountians/foothills and then coastal areas. Along the coast, the front could enhance rain at times, so we could see some bursts of heavy rainfall. Across the Foothills and Blue Ridge Escarpment, we could see some localized flooding in flood-prone areas if heavier rain sets up, so we will watch it. The rainfall forecast is still fluid, and with any tropical system can change, so stay tuned and don't take it literally this is using my best knowledge of the setup and models to make this.


Wind: Winds will really not be a concern but some gusty winds of 20-35MPH are possible with up to 45MPH in the mountians, maybe a couple of isolated outages in the mountians but I am really not concerned about this.


Tornado Threat: Given that NC is on the right side of the storm, and high wind shear is around, especially late Saturday into Sunday, we could see a low-end tornado threat develop in parts of Eastern/Central NC late Saturday night into Sunday, but the threat is fluid and not a certainty right now. So, stay tuned; overall, it looks pretty low. I'm watching, of course.


😎The Bottom Line: The world is not ending; we will be just fine. Minimal overall impact: This system is moving fast and isn't a repeat of Helene; the weekend won't be a washout and will feature plenty of dry time, including a trending-dry race in Charlotte. Rainfall: Expect 1 to 2 inches of rain across central and northern areas, and 2 to 4 inches in the mountains, foothills, and coast, bringing mostly beneficial moisture but a localized risk of flooding in vulnerable spots. Minor Wind & Low Tornado Risk: Sustained winds and gusts (20–35 MPH, up to 45 MPH in the mountains) are mostly a minor nuisance, though a low-end, highly fluid tornado threat will be monitored across Eastern and Central NC late Saturday night into Sunday. Stay tuned on that. This is the forecast as I see it now, but remember it is a science and things can and will change, so I'll do my best to keep you posted!

Mountains

110°F

Raleigh area

CADEN NELSON

CADEN NELSON

Freezing Rain is Possible for some Saturday cold rain for most.

Jan 4, 2024
2 min read

Winter Weather (ICE) is Possible for some on Saturday; no it is not the end of the world. No, you don't need to raid the grocery stores. I'll explain below that a robust low pressure will move through the state on Saturday, bringing a brief period of Winter Weather before all areas transition to a cold and miserable rain.

Friday will be cold and quiet with partly sunny skies with highs in the 40s to low 50s.

A low-pressure system will impact North Carolina, and moisture will over spread the state early Saturday with rain likely on and off throughout the day statewide. .50-2" of rain likely across the state.

Here's my thinking with my first call Freezing Rain Map: As of this evening, there is no reason to freak out; this will not be a significant event. We will see rain for most of Central and Eastern NC, a cold rain throughout the day on Saturday up to 2" of rain possible in spots.

(Dark Pink: Foothills Area) Rain will begin as Freezing rain. Freezing rain is when a warm nose aloft forms and precipitation falls as rain, but the temperatures at the ground are below freezing, so the rain freezes on contact. This area across the Foothills will see some freezing rain Saturday morning through about 12PM before models show warmer temperatures changing everyone to plain rain. Up to .25" of Ice Accrual will be possible through about midday Saturday before temperatures warm above freezing.

Impacts: Ice accrual will be on elevated surfaces and roads on Saturday morning. Some slick spots are possible, so be careful on the roads early. Travel on roads Saturday morning across the foothills will be dangerous, and a few isolated power outages will be possible due to ice accumulation on trees. Any ice accrual should be gone by the afternoon as temperatures warm.



(Light Pink) A light glaze of ice will be possible on elevated surfaces and some roads/bridges Saturday morning before the Freezing Rain changes to plain rain as temperatures warm.

In the mountains, a light accumulation of sleet/snow is possible, but I hate to tell you this will not be a snowstorm for NC.

A Winter Storm Watch has been posted by the National Weather Service for Freezing Rain for the following counties Alexander-Henderson-Caldwell Mountains-Greater Caldwell-

Burke Mountains-Greater Burke-McDowell Mountains-Eastern McDowell-Rutherford Mountains-Polk Mountains- Transylvania-Greater Rutherford-Eastern Polk-Ashe-Alleghany NC-Surry-Watauga-Wilkes: These counties are where we could see the most ice accrual that will cause travel impacts and some scattered power outages.

Central and Eastern NC should see just a cold rain no impacts expected.

The Bottom Line: This will not be a snowstorm for North Carolina; the vast majority is a rain event. Some winter weather is possible across Western areas during the morning before changing over to rain. Regardless of where you are in NC, Saturday will not be a good day for outside activities. If you're a snow lover this is not your storm hate to break it to you. A cold, miserable rain will be the theme.

 
 
 

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