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The week ahead turning hot again.

Ethan Clark

July 13, 2026 at 7:15:33 PM

The Weather Headlines across the great state of North Carolina for everyone, don't be caught unaware!

Today is a more active, cooler day with scattered showers, some storms, and widespread clouds. We will begin to see a change in the weather starting Tuesday.


-Tuesday, the cold front breaks down, we will start to see a ridge of high pressure build back, and some sunshine returns to most of the state. Highs will be in the 80s to near 90° for most areas. Storm/rain chances are much lower, but a couple of isolated to scattered showers and storms can't be ruled out, especially south, and some areas to the east seem more favored.


Wednesday-Friday: Partly to mostly sunny skies are expected, the ridge of high pressure really takes over, and the heat is back in full force. Highs in the 90s to near 100° each day for most areas. The high will be well in control of our weather, with sinking air and very limited storm chances on Wednesday and Thursday. Most are dry and hot.

Friday is still hot, with a slightly better chance of some pop-up storms.


The North Carolina Weekend: It looks hot and sunny with highs in the 90s to near 100°. A few hit or miss scattered PM storms look to be around on Saturday and Sunday afternoon/evening across the state, no washouts by any means, typical summertime stuff. We will get more details as we move towards the weekend.

As always, I'll keep you updated all week long!

Mountains

110°F

Raleigh area

CADEN NELSON

CADEN NELSON

What Meteorologists are Looking For on Radar During Severe Weather

We've all experienced it - gathering around the TV as the broadcast meteorologist goes through a list of cities and towns in the path of a tornado-warned storm. But how do meteorologists know when to warn a storm? What are meteorologists looking for?


If you've ever driven past a National Weather Service office, there's likely one thing that stood out - a NEXRAD (Next-Generation Radar) doppler radar.


The NEXRAD Radar at Fort Fix in New Jersey
The NEXRAD Radar at Fort Fix in New Jersey

A Brief History of Weather Radar

Prior to the NEXRAD, the national radar network consisted of WSR-57 (developed in 1957) and WSR-74 (developed in 1974). While helpful at the time, the United States knew it needed an upgrade. Why? Because neither radar allowed meteorologists to see wind speed and wind direction, which is crucial for detecting rotation within storms.


What Makes NEXRAD Different?

NEXRAD came with a number of improvements, including Base Velocity (BV), which shows wind direction. Not only that but it also improved resolution and sensitivity and most importantly, an increased range.


Scientific American's graphic below shows exactly how doppler weather radar works:


So, back to our scenario - sitting in the living room, around the TV, watching the tornado-warned storm heading towards you. How do meteorologists know that there's rotation?


On a velocity radar scan (bottom left), colors represent wind motion:

  • Green shades = wind moving toward the radar

  • Red shades = wind moving away from the radar

When these two strong signals appear right next to each other, it indicates rotation within the storm. This is what meteorologists refer to as a velocity couplet, and it can be a strong sign that a tornado is forming—or already occurring.



Another critical radar product is Correlation Coefficient (CC) - the image on the right.

This tool helps meteorologists determine what types of objects are being picked up by the radar.

  • High values (reds/oranges/yellows): uniform precipitation like rain or hail

  • Lower values (blues/greens): mixed or non-uniform objects


When a distinct “drop” or pocket of low correlation appears inside a storm, it can indicate debris being lofted into the air—such as:

  • roofing material

  • siding

  • trees

  • or other ground-level debris


This is often referred to as a debris signature, and it can be strong evidence that a tornado is on the ground.


So do we always know when a tornado is on the ground? Not always. Radar gives meteorologists powerful clues, but it is not perfect. Some tornadoes are short-lived, rain-wrapped, or occur in areas where radar resolution is limited. However, when strong rotation and a debris signature appear together, confidence increases significantly that a tornado is ongoing.


The bottom line: if a Tornado Warning is issued, take cover immediately.


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