Welcome back the clouds and dreary ugh weather to the state, just the messenger. Happy Wednesday, North Carolina! After a warm day yesterday, we will not have the same setup today. We will have a backdoor cold front that will drop through the state today, which will bring cooler weather and a northeast wind with mostly cloudy skies for most. We will start the morning with clouds/fog and even some patchy drizzle in spots, that should clear by late morning, and we can expect mostly cloudy skies. There's the potential for at least some clearing this afternoon, but most should stay cloudy; the best chance for sunshine will be across the southwestern part of the state from Asheville to Murphy, but some areas to the east could see some clearing this afternoon and evening but don't count on it to be too much.
Temperatures are tricky today; based on the model data, we should have temperatures much warmer than I'm forecasting, but I'm leaning old school and discounting the warmer model data. Temperatures are another challenging thing; we're moving into a Cold Air Damming/Wedge; it appears temperatures should warm into the 50s across parts of Southeastern and Coastal NC. However, to the west, I've opted to go lower than most model guidance due to the fact that wedges are notorious for slowing warming, and models are a warm bias on this type of setup. So I've taken about 4-6° off for most locations highs should range in the 40s to low 50s across most of the state with upper 50s to the southwestern part of the state.