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Mountains

Strong to severe storm chance mainly across Eastern NC on Tuesday.

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CADEN NELSON

CADEN NELSON

⛈️ Severe Weather Update: Another round of strong to severe storms is possible today, but this time the threat shifts east and northeast into Eastern sections of the state. The Storm Prediction Center has upgraded the severe weather risk, placing most areas east and northeast of Raleigh under a level 2/5 risk and a level 1/5 risk for the rest of Central NC to about Greensboro. Why? Well, an approaching cold front moving into the mountains will trigger showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and evening.


Temperatures in the 80s and low 90s, with dew points in the lower 70s, should support CAPE values of 1500-2500 J/kg this afternoon and evening across parts of Central and Eastern NC. Scattered showers and thunderstorms should develop as early as lunchtime and be around through the evening from west to east, but not everyone will see rain or storms.


A couple of storms could turn strong to severe, mainly from 12-8PM across parts of Eastern and esp NE NC. The main threat is gusty to damaging straight-line winds and some small hail, but I can't with 100% confience rule out a brief tornado mainly across Eastern/NE NC in the level 2/5, but better (low chance further north and east in the level 2 and lower south in the level 2/5) because of a lower risk of storms.




The Bottom Line: A cold front is moving through the mountains, bringing a few showers as the atmosphere warms up, and showers and thunderstorms are expected east, and a few could be strong to severe. So no reason to panic, but just like Western areas saw yesterday, we should stay aware east. I'll be watching the radar and trends all day like normal. Stay tuned! We turn drier and cooler for Wednesday before our heat wave starts late week into next week.


-Ethan

Mountains

110°F

Raleigh area

CADEN NELSON

CADEN NELSON

Forecast Tuesday, June 4th

It is a new day across the state; make the best of it. Happy Tuesday, North Carolina! At the surface this morning we have a high-pressure system centered off the coast of North Carolina; this will allow for maximum daytime heating. Partly sunny skies will drive temperatures into the mid/upper 80s and low 90s for most areas, with hot and humid conditions expected. Our atmosphere should experience moderate destabilization this afternoon and evening; thanks to outflow boundaries and some forcing around,, I expect scattered showers and thunderstorms to develop. Storms will just be popup with about 40% coverage; they could produce gusty winds and heavy rainfall. The greatest timing for storms will be between 1PM and 8PM generally dying as the sunsets. Overall, severe weather is not expected today however summertime storms can occasionally produce severe weather. Have a good day!




Additional showers and thunderstorms are possible on Wednesday and Thursday in the afternoon and evening with an isolated severe storm possible.

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