Tropical Update: The tropics are beginning to get more active. Watching!

ncwxauthority

August 11, 2026 at 2:20:12 PM

🌀 Tropical Update: Good afternoon, everyone. I'm sure everyone is sick of working on this fine Tuesday, so as you take your scroll break from work, I thought you'd love to read my tropical update. In true fashion as we head toward the start of schools/colleges, the tropics are coming alive, and this year is no different. I am, and forecasters at the National Hurricane Center are monitoring two main areas for potential tropical development in the Atlantic Ocean and two areas in the Pacific Ocean, with one showing a potential threat to Hawaii.

In the Atlantic, we have an area of disturbed weather in the North Atlantic moving away from the United States that has a low chance 20% of some Tropical Development over the next 5-7 days, but does not pose any threat to NC!

Down in the Main Development Region of the Atlantic, we've had several tropical waves that are moving off Africa over the next 5-10 days, and some are trying to show signs of development. There is now a 70% from the National Hurricane Center that a Tropical Depression or Storm will develop in this area. There remains high wind shear and dry air, so it'll face an uphill battle as it moves generally westward across the Atlantic. Since the system has not even developed, let's take models with a grain of salt and not jump to too many conclusions, but the threat to North Carolina at this point is rather low. So there's no reason to worry at this point.

Image 2: Is a graphic I created to give you an idea how long it takes tropical systems to travel across the Atlantic Ocean (NOT A FORECAST), just an example. This location is 10-14 days away, and it may not even survive the trek across. There could be some enhanced moisture to parts of the Caribbean Islands which they very much need.

Over in the Pacific, there is an area of disturbed weather over 1k miles east southeast of the Hawaiian Islands that has a high chance of becoming a Tropical Depression or Storm. Interests in the Hawaiian Islands should closely

monitor the progress of this system.

I'll keep you posted all season long; nothing to worry about right now in NC!

Mountains

110°F

Raleigh area

CADEN NELSON

FORECAST: Monday, July 20th, 2020; HOTTER HIGHS IN THE 90S AND DANGEROUS HEAT INDEX VALUES

ncwxauthority
Jul 19, 2020
1 min read

Even hotter Monday likely the hottest day so far this summer! Happy Monday, North Carolina! The ridge of high pressure remains firmly in control of our weather, partly to mostly sunny skies today with highs in the mid-upper 90s and 80s in the mountains. Heat Index values will be dangerous outside the mountains in the upper 90s to 100s, please DO not forget about pets and children do not leave them in the heat. The only relief will be a few scattered showers and thunderstorms developing mainly after 1 PM, as we've seen they will start across the Mountains and Foothills and head east through the afternoon. The best area to get wet will be across the wet, but still hit or miss. We will have a few boundaries set up, which will help give the storms that spark to get started. Once again, they will be that typical garden thunderstorm with gusty winds and heavy rainfall. I can't rule out one or two becoming severe with damaging winds. Hopefully, areas that have not gotten wet lately see rain, but coverage will only be 30%; that's just how summer storms work. No, just because there's really loud thunder, the storm is not stronger; it is just closer.