⛈️ Severe Weather Update: Heat and humidity, along with outflow boundaries left over from storms moving through the Ohio Valley, will allow scattered showers and thunderstorms to develop this afternoon and evening across the state and push east. A couple could be strong to severe, with damaging winds being the main threat. The Storm Prediction Center has placed most of North Carolina under a level 2/5 risk of severe weather, and the rest of the state under a level 1/5 risk.
📌WHAT: Cape Values (convective available potential energy (commonly abbreviated as CAPE) is a measure of the capacity of the atmosphere to support the vertical movement of air that can lead to cloud formation and storms.) will soar into the 2000+ J/kg range, which is more than enough for scattered/hit-or-miss showers and thunderstorms to develop, and some wind shear around would support the potential for strong to severe storms. The primary severe threat remains damaging straight-line winds (50-70 mph), localized wet microbursts, and I can't rule out some isolated hail in a storm or two.
Timing mainly after 1/2PM through the late evening from west to east generally, an isolated shower or storm can't be ruled out.
👀 The Bottom Line: It'll be hot and humid today, with scattered pop-up storms developing. Coverage will be 40/50%. Not everyone sees storms, but parts of Central/Western and Central-Eastern NC have a decent shot at a passing storm. If you have outdoor plans, make sure you have a backup plan for what to do if you hear thunder. I've attached the future radar, don't take it literally, but it gives you a good idea. I'll have updates like normal today!
-Ethan
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