Tropical Update: The tropics are beginning to get more active. Watching!

ncwxauthority

August 11, 2026 at 7:20:12 PM

🌀 Tropical Update: Good afternoon, everyone. I'm sure everyone is sick of working on this fine Tuesday, so as you take your scroll break from work, I thought you'd love to read my tropical update. In true fashion as we head toward the start of schools/colleges, the tropics are coming alive, and this year is no different. I am, and forecasters at the National Hurricane Center are monitoring two main areas for potential tropical development in the Atlantic Ocean and two areas in the Pacific Ocean, with one showing a potential threat to Hawaii.

In the Atlantic, we have an area of disturbed weather in the North Atlantic moving away from the United States that has a low chance 20% of some Tropical Development over the next 5-7 days, but does not pose any threat to NC!

Down in the Main Development Region of the Atlantic, we've had several tropical waves that are moving off Africa over the next 5-10 days, and some are trying to show signs of development. There is now a 70% from the National Hurricane Center that a Tropical Depression or Storm will develop in this area. There remains high wind shear and dry air, so it'll face an uphill battle as it moves generally westward across the Atlantic. Since the system has not even developed, let's take models with a grain of salt and not jump to too many conclusions, but the threat to North Carolina at this point is rather low. So there's no reason to worry at this point.

Image 2: Is a graphic I created to give you an idea how long it takes tropical systems to travel across the Atlantic Ocean (NOT A FORECAST), just an example. This location is 10-14 days away, and it may not even survive the trek across. There could be some enhanced moisture to parts of the Caribbean Islands which they very much need.

Over in the Pacific, there is an area of disturbed weather over 1k miles east southeast of the Hawaiian Islands that has a high chance of becoming a Tropical Depression or Storm. Interests in the Hawaiian Islands should closely

monitor the progress of this system.

I'll keep you posted all season long; nothing to worry about right now in NC!

Mountains

110°F

Raleigh area

CADEN NELSON

Brief Period of snow possible Sunday morning for parts of NC, don't get your hopes out.

Ethan Clark
Mar 11, 2023
1 min read

Say it ain't snow, yup, there's at least a greater chance than 0% of some snowflakes across parts of NC Sunday morning. I've had a lot of questions about this: don't go to the grocery store; no, you're not going to stuck in your house; no, this will not be a snow you can play in. The odds of seeing snow outside of the high country are low, but it is enough to post about. A cold rain is likely for most of the state; across northern NC from basically the Triangle north and west, there could be a brief period of snow mixed Sunday morning. The best chance is mainly across the high country of some brief accumulation up to 2"; outside of the mountains, ground temps are way too warm for any snow accumulation or impacts. The odds of seeing any snow are not that high, but in the blue area highlighted on the map, you could see some flakes mix in Sunday morning between 6AM-11AM; regardless, it'll be a cold, cloudy, and rainy Sunday statewide. No guarantees this will happen. I'm not that convinced this will happen; I give it about a 50% chance snow/sleet will definitely come down in the high country where the red outline is, but outside the mountains, the odds are not in our favor. However, if you're a snow lover in the area highlighted in blue, look out the window Sunday morning.