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Mountains

Strong to severe storm chance mainly across Eastern NC on Tuesday.

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CADEN NELSON

CADEN NELSON

⛈️ Severe Weather Update: Another round of strong to severe storms is possible today, but this time the threat shifts east and northeast into Eastern sections of the state. The Storm Prediction Center has upgraded the severe weather risk, placing most areas east and northeast of Raleigh under a level 2/5 risk and a level 1/5 risk for the rest of Central NC to about Greensboro. Why? Well, an approaching cold front moving into the mountains will trigger showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and evening.


Temperatures in the 80s and low 90s, with dew points in the lower 70s, should support CAPE values of 1500-2500 J/kg this afternoon and evening across parts of Central and Eastern NC. Scattered showers and thunderstorms should develop as early as lunchtime and be around through the evening from west to east, but not everyone will see rain or storms.


A couple of storms could turn strong to severe, mainly from 12-8PM across parts of Eastern and esp NE NC. The main threat is gusty to damaging straight-line winds and some small hail, but I can't with 100% confience rule out a brief tornado mainly across Eastern/NE NC in the level 2/5, but better (low chance further north and east in the level 2 and lower south in the level 2/5) because of a lower risk of storms.




The Bottom Line: A cold front is moving through the mountains, bringing a few showers as the atmosphere warms up, and showers and thunderstorms are expected east, and a few could be strong to severe. So no reason to panic, but just like Western areas saw yesterday, we should stay aware east. I'll be watching the radar and trends all day like normal. Stay tuned! We turn drier and cooler for Wednesday before our heat wave starts late week into next week.


-Ethan

Mountains

110°F

Raleigh area

CADEN NELSON

CADEN NELSON

ARCTIC BLAST TO BRING THE COLDEST WEATHER OF THE SEASON

Our pattern is quickly changing an Arctic blast will bring the coldest air of the season with long-time records in jeopardy. A strong cold front will bring the first real cold air of the season to NC, highs on Friday will struggle to get out of the 40s for many. Winter is coming quickly; everything you need to know below.


Thursday Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy to overcast especially west of Raleigh, we could see a few showers move into the mountains ahead of our next cold front. Highs will be a little warmer Thursday mid-upper 60s and low 70s!


BIG TIME CHANGE: The much talked about Arctic blast will bring the coldest air of the season in two waves. The first real cold front of the season arrives Thursday night into Friday; a few showers are likely Thursday night into early Friday. The real cold comes midday Friday. We will clear out Friday and should become mostly sunny from west to east; highs will struggle to get out of the 40s and 50s. The real deal arrives Friday night into Saturday, and clearing skies will allow temperatures to crash, widespread freeze for the entire state to just inland from the coastal areas. Lows will be in the lower 20s in the mountains to 20s and low 30s for Central and Eastern NC. The growing season will end.

The weekend and Monday will be the in-between period, rather cold highs in the 50s and lows 60s with lows in the 30s and 20s Saturday night/ Sunday night 30s and 40s. It will be sunny for everyone though!


THE SECOND COLD FRONT: This cold front will likely be the strongest and coldest cold front since late February. Record cold is possible for some starting Tuesday lasting through the end of next week. All signs point toward even colder air next week Tuesday-Friday (November 15th) Both the European and GFS (two major models) have a polar blast effecting of the Eastern US.


Here's a look at the European Forecasted lows (One Model)

Tuesday night into Wednesday


Wednesday night into Thursday morning

You should prepare your homes and properties for widespread freezes next week.


Winter Weather follow up:

Well, it's that time again where we see all the talk of the "S" word. Here's my honest truth, I don't need to hype the situation or get "clicks." In the winter, to me anything beyond 3-4 days is no man's land. Right now, a few models have been throwing the idea around of maybe some wintery precipitation next week. No one knows, even if they say Alert snow is coming. I don't believe in covering or posting about snow more than 3 days out, all of the postings before that is hype. This page is for the real honest truth not some hyped dramatic information on something that might happen from a model 5+ days away. I'll be with you all winter long, but not hyping anything. Real weather here the real truth.

Stay tuned for updates on North Carolina's Weather Authority Facebook throughout the week and beyond! Thanks for the support!

 
 
 

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