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Active Weather is ahead; rounds of storms are likely, with some Flash Flooding possible.

Ethan Clark

July 21, 2026 at 8:08:00 PM

Alright guys, let's talk, since it appears everyone in their brother and 3rd cousin once removed has plans this week and into the weekend! Unfortunately, if you have outdoor plans, you'll be at the mercy of Mother Nature for the next few days. An approaching front will bring a very active period of weather through Saturday at least across North Carolina, and if you haven’t had rain yet by Saturday, I am pretty confident you'll have rainfall!


WHAT: A front will move into the state and stall Wednesday night into Thursday; where the stalling occurs will greatly determine who sees potentially significant rainfall through Saturday, which would also have the potential to have Flash Flooding, which is currently favoring somewhere across Central/Eastern NC. Even with drought condtions excessive rainfall just runs off and results in Flash Flooding. Yes, we can flood in droughts.


Wednesday PM/Evening (Image 2): Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop, with a limited severe weather risk, with damaging winds as the main threat along the front, which appears to be stalled over parts of Central/Eastern. A level 2/5 risk of Severe Weather has been placed by the Storm Prediction Center; there could be a brief/limited Tornado risk Wednesday evening into the overnight hours (watching)


Thursday: Waves of on-and-off showers and thunderstorms will be possible across the state on and off, favoring Central and Eastern NC. Some could be heavy at times, resulting in potential flash flooding for some. Low severe risk at this point and much cooler temps in the 70s/80s for most areas due to considerable clouds.


Friday: The highest storm chances/rain will be in Central and Southern/Southeastern/Eastern sections of the state. Not a washout, but storms definitely around.

Unsettled weather will continue into the weekend; not a washout by any means, but better chances for more storms and rain the further south and east you are.


The Bottom Line: We need the rain, but all at once could result in some Flash Flooding. I'll be watching over the coming days and pinpoint where exactly as we get a clearer picture. Stay tuned for updates; here are just some thoughts!

-Ethan

Mountains

110°F

Raleigh area

CADEN NELSON

CADEN NELSON

Active Weather Expected for Saturday statewide.

Saturday Forecast: It seems everyone has plans that involve outdoor activities on Saturday. Unfortunately, it'll not be completely dry. We can expect periods of showers and thunderstorms on and off statewide, but there will also be long periods of dry time. Here's how I see Saturday playing out.


Saturday morning, scattered showers and even a thunderstorm will be possible hit or miss across the state the highest morning coverage will be across Eastern/Central NC.



Saturday afternoon, scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop across the western part of the state and move east, with storms developing at any point throughout the afternoon across the state. We can't really say exactly at what point and time a storm will hit your location, but the bottom line is scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are likely statewide Saturday afternoon and evening.

Severe Weather: A few strong to severe storms are possible statewide; the threat appears higher level 2/5 risk from Raleigh and points east. However, regardless of where you're located in North Carolina, there is a low-end risk of a strong to severe storm. A few isolated storms could be severe with damaging winds, the tornado threat is very low, but an isolated tornado can't be completely ruled out mainly along the Cape Fear Region.


The severe weather threat is very fluid and subject to change over the next 12 hours, so will be monitoring the progress. I don't think the threat will be as widespread as the past few events.



The Bottom Line: On Saturday be prepared for a passing shower/storm at any point during the day, it'll not be a washout anywhere; there will be lots of dry time.



I'll be monitoring and have you covered all day on the changing weather conditions!

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