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Strong to severe storms possible this afternoon and evening.

Ethan Clark

June 27, 2026 at 11:23:59 AM

⛈️ Severe Weather Update: Heat and humidity, along with outflow boundaries left over from storms moving through the Ohio Valley, will allow scattered showers and thunderstorms to develop this afternoon and evening across the state and push east. A couple could be strong to severe, with damaging winds being the main threat. The Storm Prediction Center has placed most of North Carolina under a level 2/5 risk of severe weather, and the rest of the state under a level 1/5 risk.


📌WHAT: Cape Values (convective available potential energy (commonly abbreviated as CAPE) is a measure of the capacity of the atmosphere to support the vertical movement of air that can lead to cloud formation and storms.) will soar into the 2000+ J/kg range, which is more than enough for scattered/hit-or-miss showers and thunderstorms to develop, and some wind shear around would support the potential for strong to severe storms. The primary severe threat remains damaging straight-line winds (50-70 mph), localized wet microbursts, and I can't rule out some isolated hail in a storm or two.


Timing mainly after 1/2PM through the late evening from west to east generally, an isolated shower or storm can't be ruled out.


👀 The Bottom Line: It'll be hot and humid today, with scattered pop-up storms developing. Coverage will be 40/50%. Not everyone sees storms, but parts of Central/Western and Central-Eastern NC have a decent shot at a passing storm. If you have outdoor plans, make sure you have a backup plan for what to do if you hear thunder. I've attached the future radar, don't take it literally, but it gives you a good idea. I'll have updates like normal today!


-Ethan

Mountains

110°F

Raleigh area

CADEN NELSON

CADEN NELSON

Active Sunday, showers, and thunderstorms likely before clearing out a mild day.

Temperatures soar ahead of a cold front for a good portion of the state, and the 70s return for Eastern and Central areas. Happy Sunday, North Carolina! A mid-level short wave and an occluded front will bring widespread showers and even some embedded thunderstorms to most of the state through early to mid-afternoon; coverage will be 80-90% of the state. I expect the vast majority to get wet. The best chance to see rain will be from early this morning until early afternoon; a dry slot will work in from the southwest and push eat through the afternoon, shutting of the rain from west to east. We should all be dry by mid to late afternoon, most areas west earlier. Highs will soar into the mid-upper 60s and low-mid 70s for all areas. An isolated strong to severe storm will be possible. It will also be a very windy day regardless, so tie down the light objects. Wind gusts up to 45MPH are possible in spots even higher across the mountains.



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