Active Weather is ahead; rounds of storms are likely, with some Flash Flooding possible.

Ethan Clark

July 21, 2026 at 8:08:00 PM

Alright guys, let's talk, since it appears everyone in their brother and 3rd cousin once removed has plans this week and into the weekend! Unfortunately, if you have outdoor plans, you'll be at the mercy of Mother Nature for the next few days. An approaching front will bring a very active period of weather through Saturday at least across North Carolina, and if you haven’t had rain yet by Saturday, I am pretty confident you'll have rainfall!

WHAT: A front will move into the state and stall Wednesday night into Thursday; where the stalling occurs will greatly determine who sees potentially significant rainfall through Saturday, which would also have the potential to have Flash Flooding, which is currently favoring somewhere across Central/Eastern NC. Even with drought condtions excessive rainfall just runs off and results in Flash Flooding. Yes, we can flood in droughts.

Wednesday PM/Evening (Image 2): Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop, with a limited severe weather risk, with damaging winds as the main threat along the front, which appears to be stalled over parts of Central/Eastern. A level 2/5 risk of Severe Weather has been placed by the Storm Prediction Center; there could be a brief/limited Tornado risk Wednesday evening into the overnight hours (watching)

Thursday: Waves of on-and-off showers and thunderstorms will be possible across the state on and off, favoring Central and Eastern NC. Some could be heavy at times, resulting in potential flash flooding for some. Low severe risk at this point and much cooler temps in the 70s/80s for most areas due to considerable clouds.

Friday: The highest storm chances/rain will be in Central and Southern/Southeastern/Eastern sections of the state. Not a washout, but storms definitely around.

Unsettled weather will continue into the weekend; not a washout by any means, but better chances for more storms and rain the further south and east you are.

The Bottom Line: We need the rain, but all at once could result in some Flash Flooding. I'll be watching over the coming days and pinpoint where exactly as we get a clearer picture. Stay tuned for updates; here are just some thoughts!

-Ethan

Mountains

110°F

Raleigh area

CADEN NELSON

Increasing Rain Chances along with the Risk of some Flooding.

Ethan Clark
May 10, 2025
1 min read

Here comes the rain, and a good amount of it. Our pattern will shift a good bit starting on Sunday, lasting through at least Tuesday night. This will result in higher-than-normal rain chances. It won't rain all day every day, but there will be periods of showers and some thunderstorms statewide each day (severe weather threat is pretty low though). A frontal system will stall across the Eastern US, which will result in waves of disturbances working through North Carolina over the next 72 hours. We will see widespread rain chances, and radar will be your friend to see when there are breaks.

Rainfall: This pattern favors moderate rain events, which could result in localized flooding in spots and increase river and creek levels throughout the state. Most of the state is in a drought, so this is much needed, but we don't want it to come down too fast at one time. I expect a good portion of the state to see 2-4 inches of rain through Wednesday, with some areas along the Foothills (Blue Ridge Escarpment) seeing 4+ inches of rain. There will likely be some localized flooding in spots that normally flood here and there, so be aware of that across the state, especially where higher rainfall totals are set up from bands.

Due to extensive cloud coverage, cooler temperatures in the 60s and 70s are expected for the most part before they turn much warmer by the end of next week.

I'll keep you updated with radar updates and model trends here and there. Have a good rest of your Saturday.

-Ethan