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Active Weather is ahead; rounds of storms are likely, with some Flash Flooding possible.

Ethan Clark

July 21, 2026 at 8:08:00 PM

Alright guys, let's talk, since it appears everyone in their brother and 3rd cousin once removed has plans this week and into the weekend! Unfortunately, if you have outdoor plans, you'll be at the mercy of Mother Nature for the next few days. An approaching front will bring a very active period of weather through Saturday at least across North Carolina, and if you haven’t had rain yet by Saturday, I am pretty confident you'll have rainfall!


WHAT: A front will move into the state and stall Wednesday night into Thursday; where the stalling occurs will greatly determine who sees potentially significant rainfall through Saturday, which would also have the potential to have Flash Flooding, which is currently favoring somewhere across Central/Eastern NC. Even with drought condtions excessive rainfall just runs off and results in Flash Flooding. Yes, we can flood in droughts.


Wednesday PM/Evening (Image 2): Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop, with a limited severe weather risk, with damaging winds as the main threat along the front, which appears to be stalled over parts of Central/Eastern. A level 2/5 risk of Severe Weather has been placed by the Storm Prediction Center; there could be a brief/limited Tornado risk Wednesday evening into the overnight hours (watching)


Thursday: Waves of on-and-off showers and thunderstorms will be possible across the state on and off, favoring Central and Eastern NC. Some could be heavy at times, resulting in potential flash flooding for some. Low severe risk at this point and much cooler temps in the 70s/80s for most areas due to considerable clouds.


Friday: The highest storm chances/rain will be in Central and Southern/Southeastern/Eastern sections of the state. Not a washout, but storms definitely around.

Unsettled weather will continue into the weekend; not a washout by any means, but better chances for more storms and rain the further south and east you are.


The Bottom Line: We need the rain, but all at once could result in some Flash Flooding. I'll be watching over the coming days and pinpoint where exactly as we get a clearer picture. Stay tuned for updates; here are just some thoughts!

-Ethan

Mountains

110°F

Raleigh area

CADEN NELSON

CADEN NELSON

Freezing rain to bring some icy conditions to parts of the NC Mountains/ Blue Ridge Escarpment

🧊: Here we go again, another round of Freezing rain is likely late tonight into Tuesday morning across parts of the Mountains, Yadkin Valley, and the Blue Ridge Escarpment from Ashe County down to about Polk County. Freezing rain is expected in these areas; a light glaze will be possible, especially on elevated surfaces.


-Areas of most significant concern for some icing will be in the following Counties: Ashe, Ashe-Alleghany NC, Surry, Watauga, Wilkes, Stokes, Yadkin, Avery, Yancey, Mitchell, Caldwell, Mountains, Burke, Mountains, McDowell, Mountains, Buncombe, Henderson, Rutherford, Mountains-Polk Mountains. All these areas have the potential of some light icing that should glaze elevated surfaces, so be aware of some slick spots through about lunchtime on Tuesday. Down towards the Asheville area, east into Buncombe County, and near Henderson County have the best chance of some icing.


-There is the potential of some higher icing of up to .30/.40 in spots across parts of Ashe, Avery, Alleghany, Yancey, Mitchell, Caldwell, Burke (Mountains), and McDowell (Mountains) Surry-Watauga. This could lead to a couple of power outages due to the weight of the ice built up on the lines; be aware, just in case.


The Bottom Line: Icing will create some slippery condtions across a portion of the North Carolina mountains and Blue Ridge Escarpment tonight through about lunchtime on Tuesday. Icing may create slippery conditions on roads, bridges, and sidewalks. If you must drive late tonight or early Tuesday morning, take it easy, especially on bridges and overpasses, which ice first. Temperatures will be above freezing for everyone by lunchtime or so, and problems will be over. For everyone else across the state, just seeing a cold rain.


-Ethan

 
 
 

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