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Active Weather is ahead; rounds of storms are likely, with some Flash Flooding possible.

Ethan Clark

July 21, 2026 at 8:08:00 PM

Alright guys, let's talk, since it appears everyone in their brother and 3rd cousin once removed has plans this week and into the weekend! Unfortunately, if you have outdoor plans, you'll be at the mercy of Mother Nature for the next few days. An approaching front will bring a very active period of weather through Saturday at least across North Carolina, and if you haven’t had rain yet by Saturday, I am pretty confident you'll have rainfall!


WHAT: A front will move into the state and stall Wednesday night into Thursday; where the stalling occurs will greatly determine who sees potentially significant rainfall through Saturday, which would also have the potential to have Flash Flooding, which is currently favoring somewhere across Central/Eastern NC. Even with drought condtions excessive rainfall just runs off and results in Flash Flooding. Yes, we can flood in droughts.


Wednesday PM/Evening (Image 2): Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop, with a limited severe weather risk, with damaging winds as the main threat along the front, which appears to be stalled over parts of Central/Eastern. A level 2/5 risk of Severe Weather has been placed by the Storm Prediction Center; there could be a brief/limited Tornado risk Wednesday evening into the overnight hours (watching)


Thursday: Waves of on-and-off showers and thunderstorms will be possible across the state on and off, favoring Central and Eastern NC. Some could be heavy at times, resulting in potential flash flooding for some. Low severe risk at this point and much cooler temps in the 70s/80s for most areas due to considerable clouds.


Friday: The highest storm chances/rain will be in Central and Southern/Southeastern/Eastern sections of the state. Not a washout, but storms definitely around.

Unsettled weather will continue into the weekend; not a washout by any means, but better chances for more storms and rain the further south and east you are.


The Bottom Line: We need the rain, but all at once could result in some Flash Flooding. I'll be watching over the coming days and pinpoint where exactly as we get a clearer picture. Stay tuned for updates; here are just some thoughts!

-Ethan

Mountains

110°F

Raleigh area

CADEN NELSON

CADEN NELSON

COLDEST AIR OF THE SEASON COMING STATEWIDE END OF THE WEEK

Another big-time cool down is coming this weekend; some areas will be downright cold. A strong cold front will bring the first Arctic blast to NC, highs on Friday will struggle to get out of the 40s for many. Winter is coming; everything you need to know below.


Wednesday/Thursday: Wednesday mostly sunny and seasonable highs in the 60s (50s in the northern mountains) It will be a lovely day Wednesday, find time to be outside!

Thursday Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy to overcast especially west of Raleigh, we could see a few showers move into the mountains ahead of our next cold front. Highs will be a little warmer Thursday mid-upper 60s


PATTERN CHANGE: The most vigorous cold front of the season arrives Thursday night into Friday; a few showers are likely Thursday night into early Friday. The real cold comes midday Friday. We will clear out Friday and should become mostly sunny from west to east; highs will struggle to get out of the 40s and 50s. The real deal arrives Friday night into Saturday, and clearing skies will allow temperatures to crash, widespread freeze for the entire state to just inland from the coastal areas. Lows will be in the lower 20s in the mountains to 20s and low 30s for Central and Eastern NC. The growing season will end.


Check out Friday night low into Saturday, get the jackets out winter is coming.

WEEKEND: The weekend will rather cold highs in the 50s and lows 60s with lows in the 30s and 20s Saturday night/ Sunday night 30s and 40s. It will be sunny for everyone though!

EVEN COLDER NEXT WEEK: All signs point toward even colder air next week Tuesday-Friday (November 15th) Both the European and GFS (two major models) have a polar blast effecting of the Eastern US.

Here's a look at the GFS showing temperatures running 20-25 degrees below normal this would mean highs in the 40s outside the mountains lows in the 20s (30s and teens in the mountains) a period of subfreezing lows cannot be ruled out next week.

Image weathermodels.com

Stay tuned for updates on North Carolina's Weather Authority Facebook throughout the week and beyond! Thanks for the support!

 
 
 

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