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Active Weather is ahead; rounds of storms are likely, with some Flash Flooding possible.

Ethan Clark

July 21, 2026 at 8:08:00 PM

Alright guys, let's talk, since it appears everyone in their brother and 3rd cousin once removed has plans this week and into the weekend! Unfortunately, if you have outdoor plans, you'll be at the mercy of Mother Nature for the next few days. An approaching front will bring a very active period of weather through Saturday at least across North Carolina, and if you haven’t had rain yet by Saturday, I am pretty confident you'll have rainfall!


WHAT: A front will move into the state and stall Wednesday night into Thursday; where the stalling occurs will greatly determine who sees potentially significant rainfall through Saturday, which would also have the potential to have Flash Flooding, which is currently favoring somewhere across Central/Eastern NC. Even with drought condtions excessive rainfall just runs off and results in Flash Flooding. Yes, we can flood in droughts.


Wednesday PM/Evening (Image 2): Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop, with a limited severe weather risk, with damaging winds as the main threat along the front, which appears to be stalled over parts of Central/Eastern. A level 2/5 risk of Severe Weather has been placed by the Storm Prediction Center; there could be a brief/limited Tornado risk Wednesday evening into the overnight hours (watching)


Thursday: Waves of on-and-off showers and thunderstorms will be possible across the state on and off, favoring Central and Eastern NC. Some could be heavy at times, resulting in potential flash flooding for some. Low severe risk at this point and much cooler temps in the 70s/80s for most areas due to considerable clouds.


Friday: The highest storm chances/rain will be in Central and Southern/Southeastern/Eastern sections of the state. Not a washout, but storms definitely around.

Unsettled weather will continue into the weekend; not a washout by any means, but better chances for more storms and rain the further south and east you are.


The Bottom Line: We need the rain, but all at once could result in some Flash Flooding. I'll be watching over the coming days and pinpoint where exactly as we get a clearer picture. Stay tuned for updates; here are just some thoughts!

-Ethan

Mountains

110°F

Raleigh area

CADEN NELSON

CADEN NELSON

Accumulating Snow Likely for the NC Mountains.

Here comes more snow for the North Carolina Mountains; a strong northflow snow event is expected Sunday into Monday morning across parts of the North Carolina Mountains. It'll turn dangerously cold in the mountains, and high winds Sunday night will lead to Wind Chill Values below 0°. Make preparations now to stay warm. A Winter Storm Watch for Sunday into Monday has been issued for Swain, Graham, Madison, Yancey, Mitchell, and Haywood Counties. A Winter Storm Weather Advisory has been issued for Ashe, Watauga, and Avery County. There is a high chance of accumulating snow and gusty winds in these counties.


Accumulation Mountains: 1-3 to 3-5 inches (mainly along the TN border communities) inches is expected for anyone above 2.500ft; some flakes could fly for the valleys with a low chance below 2.500. The big winners for snow are above 3,800ft into the Smokies and along the North Carolina-Tennessee border 5-8 inches+ inches like along the highest peaks, for example, the Smokies mountains, Mount Mitchell, the western facing ski resorts, and Blue Ridge Parkways. A few ridgetop locations will exceed 5+ inches, especially in the Smokies Clingmans Dome, and Max Patch Wolf Laurel, very high locations of the mountains Roan Mountain/ Carvers Gap. Snowfall amounts are highly dependent on elevation; the higher you are, the better. The lower you are in the valleys, little to no amounts.


The National Weather Service says: "The heavy snow will create snow covered roads and produce scattered power outages. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning commute. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches"


-Ethan

 
 
 

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