Active Weather is ahead; rounds of storms are likely, with some Flash Flooding possible.

Ethan Clark

July 21, 2026 at 8:08:00 PM

Alright guys, let's talk, since it appears everyone in their brother and 3rd cousin once removed has plans this week and into the weekend! Unfortunately, if you have outdoor plans, you'll be at the mercy of Mother Nature for the next few days. An approaching front will bring a very active period of weather through Saturday at least across North Carolina, and if you haven’t had rain yet by Saturday, I am pretty confident you'll have rainfall!

WHAT: A front will move into the state and stall Wednesday night into Thursday; where the stalling occurs will greatly determine who sees potentially significant rainfall through Saturday, which would also have the potential to have Flash Flooding, which is currently favoring somewhere across Central/Eastern NC. Even with drought condtions excessive rainfall just runs off and results in Flash Flooding. Yes, we can flood in droughts.

Wednesday PM/Evening (Image 2): Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop, with a limited severe weather risk, with damaging winds as the main threat along the front, which appears to be stalled over parts of Central/Eastern. A level 2/5 risk of Severe Weather has been placed by the Storm Prediction Center; there could be a brief/limited Tornado risk Wednesday evening into the overnight hours (watching)

Thursday: Waves of on-and-off showers and thunderstorms will be possible across the state on and off, favoring Central and Eastern NC. Some could be heavy at times, resulting in potential flash flooding for some. Low severe risk at this point and much cooler temps in the 70s/80s for most areas due to considerable clouds.

Friday: The highest storm chances/rain will be in Central and Southern/Southeastern/Eastern sections of the state. Not a washout, but storms definitely around.

Unsettled weather will continue into the weekend; not a washout by any means, but better chances for more storms and rain the further south and east you are.

The Bottom Line: We need the rain, but all at once could result in some Flash Flooding. I'll be watching over the coming days and pinpoint where exactly as we get a clearer picture. Stay tuned for updates; here are just some thoughts!

-Ethan

Mountains

110°F

Raleigh area

CADEN NELSON

There is potential for another round of winter weather this week across parts of North Carolina!

Ethan Clark
Feb 2
2 min read

Headlines This Week, Potentially some more winter weather midweek? Hey everyone, I've seen the messages, the rumors, and the apps. Yes, there is potential for another round of light snow/sleet mid-week in parts of the state. This won't be a winter storm, and nothing like the last event, but the potential (high uncertainty) is there for at least some more snow for parts of the state. I'll explain more below. At this point, if you don't laugh, you cry right.

Tonight-Tuesday: Lows will fall into the 10s and 20s across the state, so anything that hasn’t evaporated off the ground will refreeze, so watch out for black ice in the morning, especially in shaded areas. Highs on Tuesday will warm more into the upper 30s and 40s for most areas with increasing clouds from west to east.

Wednesday/Thursday: A clipper system will approach from the west, leading to increasing moisture. Scattered rain showers will move in Tuesday night into Wednesday across the state. It doesn’t appear to be too much rain, but some rain is expected for most of Tuesday night and Wednesday. Temperatures should be mostly above freezing at this point, so it should be all rain. Things get a little more interesting on Wednesday evening and overnight hours, the low slows down, and our next cold front tries to catch up to the moisture.

-It is possible some of the rain turns over to sleet or snow, mainly across Northern/Central parts of the state on Wednesday evening and overnight on Wednesday. There is a nonzero chance of some light snow/sleet accumulation overnight on Wednesday, temperatures would be warmer, so this would be wet/slushy stuff. It does not look like a big deal, and it is not a slam dunk right now because cold air chasing moisture does not always work out. However, several models have it. This could impact some travel, especially on Thursday morning. The favored areas seem mainly and especially north of Raleigh and Greensboro. Given the high amount of interest and the apps showing it, I've decided it was worth mentioning even though I was watching it all weekend. I just figured the snow fatigue was high and waited.

Thursday PM/Sunday: Sunshine returns and it stays chilly with highs in the 30s and 40s, some a little warmer at times through the weekend. The weather looks quiet as of now.

The Bottom Line: Snow fatigue is real. This would be the 3rd week in a row of winter weather. I get it! This system has limited moisture and will mainly be rain, but there is a nonzero chance of some light accumulation in some spots. I'll watch the data and have more thoughts on it over the next 24-48 hours, nothing to panic about! We will be just fine! Hopefully, it does not happen, but there is enough data to mention it at this point!

-Ethan