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Tropical Update: The tropics are beginning to get more active. Watching!

ncwxauthority

August 11, 2026 at 2:20:12 PM

🌀 Tropical Update: Good afternoon, everyone. I'm sure everyone is sick of working on this fine Tuesday, so as you take your scroll break from work, I thought you'd love to read my tropical update. In true fashion as we head toward the start of schools/colleges, the tropics are coming alive, and this year is no different. I am, and forecasters at the National Hurricane Center are monitoring two main areas for potential tropical development in the Atlantic Ocean and two areas in the Pacific Ocean, with one showing a potential threat to Hawaii.


In the Atlantic, we have an area of disturbed weather in the North Atlantic moving away from the United States that has a low chance 20% of some Tropical Development over the next 5-7 days, but does not pose any threat to NC!


Down in the Main Development Region of the Atlantic, we've had several tropical waves that are moving off Africa over the next 5-10 days, and some are trying to show signs of development. There is now a 70% from the National Hurricane Center that a Tropical Depression or Storm will develop in this area. There remains high wind shear and dry air, so it'll face an uphill battle as it moves generally westward across the Atlantic. Since the system has not even developed, let's take models with a grain of salt and not jump to too many conclusions, but the threat to North Carolina at this point is rather low. So there's no reason to worry at this point.


Image 2: Is a graphic I created to give you an idea how long it takes tropical systems to travel across the Atlantic Ocean (NOT A FORECAST), just an example. This location is 10-14 days away, and it may not even survive the trek across. There could be some enhanced moisture to parts of the Caribbean Islands which they very much need.


Over in the Pacific, there is an area of disturbed weather over 1k miles east southeast of the Hawaiian Islands that has a high chance of becoming a Tropical Depression or Storm. Interests in the Hawaiian Islands should closely


monitor the progress of this system.


I'll keep you posted all season long; nothing to worry about right now in NC!

Mountains

110°F

Raleigh area

CADEN NELSON

CADEN NELSON

The week ahead!

Mar 23
1 min read

Headlines in the Weather Department this week: A cold front will pass through tonight; it'll be much cooler tomorrow, breezy, with highs in the 50s and low 60s for most of the state.


-Wednesday and Thursday, we will turn warmer into the 60s on Wednesday and 70s to near 80° across the state on Thursday under partly to mostly sunny skies.


-Friday highs will be in the 70s and 80s ahead of our next cold front, and a couple of showers or thunderstorms can't be ruled out Friday evening into the overnight hours. However, does not look like much moisture at all.


The weekend: It'll be much cooler, with highs in the 50s and 60s with partly sunny skies, and an isolated shower chance Saturday morning.


Early next week, as we head into April, temperatures will turn warmer, with highs in the 60s/70s, rising into the 70s and 80s, with little to no rain expected!


-Ethan


 
 
 

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