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Tropical Update: The tropics are beginning to get more active. Watching!

ncwxauthority

August 11, 2026 at 2:20:12 PM

🌀 Tropical Update: Good afternoon, everyone. I'm sure everyone is sick of working on this fine Tuesday, so as you take your scroll break from work, I thought you'd love to read my tropical update. In true fashion as we head toward the start of schools/colleges, the tropics are coming alive, and this year is no different. I am, and forecasters at the National Hurricane Center are monitoring two main areas for potential tropical development in the Atlantic Ocean and two areas in the Pacific Ocean, with one showing a potential threat to Hawaii.


In the Atlantic, we have an area of disturbed weather in the North Atlantic moving away from the United States that has a low chance 20% of some Tropical Development over the next 5-7 days, but does not pose any threat to NC!


Down in the Main Development Region of the Atlantic, we've had several tropical waves that are moving off Africa over the next 5-10 days, and some are trying to show signs of development. There is now a 70% from the National Hurricane Center that a Tropical Depression or Storm will develop in this area. There remains high wind shear and dry air, so it'll face an uphill battle as it moves generally westward across the Atlantic. Since the system has not even developed, let's take models with a grain of salt and not jump to too many conclusions, but the threat to North Carolina at this point is rather low. So there's no reason to worry at this point.


Image 2: Is a graphic I created to give you an idea how long it takes tropical systems to travel across the Atlantic Ocean (NOT A FORECAST), just an example. This location is 10-14 days away, and it may not even survive the trek across. There could be some enhanced moisture to parts of the Caribbean Islands which they very much need.


Over in the Pacific, there is an area of disturbed weather over 1k miles east southeast of the Hawaiian Islands that has a high chance of becoming a Tropical Depression or Storm. Interests in the Hawaiian Islands should closely


monitor the progress of this system.


I'll keep you posted all season long; nothing to worry about right now in NC!

Mountains

110°F

Raleigh area

CADEN NELSON

CADEN NELSON

Summer comes roaring in with near record high temperatures ahead

Writer: Ethan Clark
Ethan Clark
Jun 10
1 min read

Welcome to Summer in North Carolina. If you're new around here, you'll figure out what that means quickly. Here comes the heat, the hottest temperatures in over a year are on the way for most of the state. Heat and humidity will build through the week, with the highest humidity and heat on Thursday and Friday, and slightly cooler, less humid air for the weekend, though still hot. Above-average to near-record temperatures are possible across the state, especially Thursday and Friday. The only real relif would come in isolated to scattered hit or miss PM storms each afternoon, but coverage does not look great but some spots will see some hit or miss storms each day! Coverage on Thursday looks quite low, but a better chance on Friday.


Highs will be in the 90s for most areas, with some spots breaking the century mark on Thursday and Friday. Humidity levels will make it feel like the low 100s for most areas away from the beaches and mountains.


We do this all the time in the summer, but make sure you drink plenty of fluids, and if working outside for long periods, take breaks in the shade or AC. Know the warning signs of heat exhaustion (pale, clammy skin, dizziness, heavy sweating) and heat stroke (hot, dry skin, no sweat, deliriousness). Find an air-conditioned cooling center in your area if you do not have AC at home.


-Ethan

 
 
 

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