A developing storm system will bring the threat of severe weather across parts of the state, the main areas to see some severe weather will be from Greensboro/ Charlotte west. The Storm Prediction Center has issued a level 2/5 from Charlotte west into the mountains and foothills, further east toward the Center and Eastern part of the state the threat is very low to zero.
WHAT: A shortwave disturbance will approach the mountains and foothills later this afternoon and evening and bring increased moisture. The combination of strong daytime heating and increased CAPE ( Convective Available Potential Energy) this important for the development of severe weather. Models are showing 1800-2400 J/Kg, which should help storms fire this afternoon and evening. I expect a line of storms to develop and move across the western part of the state this evening. This will not be a prolonged event, storms will be in and out very quickly.
TIMING: Storms are developing across Eastern Tennessee now and moving east, they should approach the mountains in the next couple of hours and further east near or at sunset. I do not expect these storms to make it past Greensboro, due to the loss of heat and weak forcing. (see images below)
THREATS: Given moderate instability and strong daytime heating, the main mode of severe weather will be damaging winds, the line of storms will have bowing segments which will enhance the winds. An isolated tornado is also possible but pretty low.
Bottom Line: Be prepared across the mountains and foothills areas to see a line of thunderstorms producing some damaging winds, I do not expect widespread severe weather this evening. I will be here all afternoon and evening posting any updates there are necessary. Be sure to share this with your friends and family, and to hit that LIKE button to stay up to date on the latest weather
SEVERE WEATHER TEXT ALERTS
I want to remind you with severe weather and hurricane seasons coming up, to sign up for our FREE text alert service! Texts reach you when you have little cell service and you don't have to download anything and take up storage. This is not automated - I am constantly monitoring warnings. That is our priority: your safety. You will only receive alerts for the counties in which you subscribe to. You are welcome to signup/subscribe to as many counties as you wish to and can unsubscribe at any time.
To sign up you will still need to make sure your text (in your cell phone text messages) the EXACT spelling of the capitalized word on the list BELOW to 84483 to sign up for that county.
I have added 100 NC counties out of 100 counties, As always all warnings and watches will be posted on FB for all 100 counties.
(this is exactly how you have to text your county in your cell phone text messages to 84483 to sign up). ALAMANCECOWX ALEXANDERCOWX ALLEGHANYCOWX ANSONCOWX ASHECOWX AVERYCOWX BEAUFORTCOWX BERTIECOWX BLADENCOWX BRUNSWICKCOWX BUNCOMBECOWX BURKECOWX CABARRUSCOWX CALDWELLCOWX CAMDENCOWX CARTERETCOWX CASWELLCOWX CATAWBACOWX CHATHAMCOWX CHEROKEECOWX CHOWANCOWX CLAYCOWX CLEVELANDCOWX COLUMBUSCOWX CRAVENCOWX CUMBERLANDCOWX CURRITUCKCOWX DARECOWX DAVIDSONCOWX DAVIECOWX DUPLINCOWX DURHAMCOWX EDGECOMBECOWX FORSYTHCOWX FRANKLINCOWX GASTONCOWX GATESCOWX GRAHAMCOWX GRANVILLECOWX GREENECOWX GUILFORDCOWX HALIFAXCOWX HARNETTCOWX HAYWOODCOWX HENDERSONCOWX HERTFORDCOWX HOKECOWX HYDECOWX IREDELLCOWX JACKSONCOWX JOHNSTONCOWX JONESCOWX LEECOWX LENOIRCOWX LINCOLNCOWX MACONCOWX MADISONCOWX MARTINCOWX MCDOWELLCOWX MECKLENBURGCOWX MITCHELLCOWX MONTGOMERYCOWX MOORECOWX NASHCOWX NEWHANOVERCOWX NORTHAMPTONCOWX ONSLOWCOWX ORANGECOWX PAMLICOCOWX PASQUOTANKCOWX PENDERCOWX PERQUIMANSCOWX PERSONCOWX PITTCOWX POLKCOWX RANDOLPHCOWX RICHMONDCOWX ROBESONCOWX ROCKINGHAMCOWX ROWANCOWX RUTHERFORDCOWX SAMPSONCOWX SCOTLANDCOWX STANLYCOWX STOKESCOWX SURRYCOWX SWAINCOWX TRANSYLVANIACOWX TYRRELLCOWX UNIONCOWX VANCECOWX WAKECOWX WARRENCOWX WASHINGTONCOWX WATAUGACOWX WAYNECOWX WILKESCOWX WILSONCOWX YADKINCOWX YANCEYCOWX