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Tropical Update: The tropics are beginning to get more active. Watching!

ncwxauthority

August 11, 2026 at 7:20:12 PM

🌀 Tropical Update: Good afternoon, everyone. I'm sure everyone is sick of working on this fine Tuesday, so as you take your scroll break from work, I thought you'd love to read my tropical update. In true fashion as we head toward the start of schools/colleges, the tropics are coming alive, and this year is no different. I am, and forecasters at the National Hurricane Center are monitoring two main areas for potential tropical development in the Atlantic Ocean and two areas in the Pacific Ocean, with one showing a potential threat to Hawaii.


In the Atlantic, we have an area of disturbed weather in the North Atlantic moving away from the United States that has a low chance 20% of some Tropical Development over the next 5-7 days, but does not pose any threat to NC!


Down in the Main Development Region of the Atlantic, we've had several tropical waves that are moving off Africa over the next 5-10 days, and some are trying to show signs of development. There is now a 70% from the National Hurricane Center that a Tropical Depression or Storm will develop in this area. There remains high wind shear and dry air, so it'll face an uphill battle as it moves generally westward across the Atlantic. Since the system has not even developed, let's take models with a grain of salt and not jump to too many conclusions, but the threat to North Carolina at this point is rather low. So there's no reason to worry at this point.


Image 2: Is a graphic I created to give you an idea how long it takes tropical systems to travel across the Atlantic Ocean (NOT A FORECAST), just an example. This location is 10-14 days away, and it may not even survive the trek across. There could be some enhanced moisture to parts of the Caribbean Islands which they very much need.


Over in the Pacific, there is an area of disturbed weather over 1k miles east southeast of the Hawaiian Islands that has a high chance of becoming a Tropical Depression or Storm. Interests in the Hawaiian Islands should closely


monitor the progress of this system.


I'll keep you posted all season long; nothing to worry about right now in NC!

Mountains

110°F

Raleigh area

CADEN NELSON

CADEN NELSON

MOSTLY DRY WEEK AHEAD POTENTIAL STORM SYSTEM COMING

Well, that pretty much wraps up the Ice storm this weekend, numerous reports of trees down and power outages across the western haft of the state. Things will begin to clear out starting Monday. As conditions begin to clear out the beginning of the week will be cold and cloudy Monday and part of Tuesday, the sun will reemerge Tuesday afternoon and for sure on Wednesday. This coming week will be another mostly dry week with the exception of Thursday night into Friday morning. Another low pressure system will impact the state bring at this point just rain, snow might fall in the high country but it will be very light.


Next Weekend: There has been a lot of talk on social media and other places regarding another storm system Sunday into next Monday. There is lots of possibilities, thus being more than a week out I'll watch it but nothing really concerning at this point. Check back later this week in case it changes!


FORECAST: Below are a few forecasts for different areas of the state, given the large area of the state I am unable to post for every single town. However, these towns are about 60-70 miles apart from each other so, if you are near them your forecast will be the same. Remember around 7AM our daily forecast is posted on Facebook and Twitter this includes many more towns and cities state wide!


Raleigh, Central NC surrounding area 5-day forecast.

Greensboro, Piedmont and surrounding areas 5- Day forecast!

Western NC, Asheville and surrounding areas 5-Day Forecast


Charlotte Metro and surrounding areas 5-Day forecast

High Country, Boone, Blowing Rock, Todd, Jefferson and surrounding areas 5-Day forecast

Cape Fear, Wilmington and surrounding areas 5-Day Forecast


Eastern NC, Greenville and surrounding area


New Bern and surrounding areas forecast


Thank you for choosing North Carolina's Weather Authority, if you have any questions please message us on Facebook. Keep checking back for more updates.

 
 
 

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