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Tropical Update: The tropics are beginning to get more active. Watching!

ncwxauthority

August 11, 2026 at 2:20:12 PM

🌀 Tropical Update: Good afternoon, everyone. I'm sure everyone is sick of working on this fine Tuesday, so as you take your scroll break from work, I thought you'd love to read my tropical update. In true fashion as we head toward the start of schools/colleges, the tropics are coming alive, and this year is no different. I am, and forecasters at the National Hurricane Center are monitoring two main areas for potential tropical development in the Atlantic Ocean and two areas in the Pacific Ocean, with one showing a potential threat to Hawaii.


In the Atlantic, we have an area of disturbed weather in the North Atlantic moving away from the United States that has a low chance 20% of some Tropical Development over the next 5-7 days, but does not pose any threat to NC!


Down in the Main Development Region of the Atlantic, we've had several tropical waves that are moving off Africa over the next 5-10 days, and some are trying to show signs of development. There is now a 70% from the National Hurricane Center that a Tropical Depression or Storm will develop in this area. There remains high wind shear and dry air, so it'll face an uphill battle as it moves generally westward across the Atlantic. Since the system has not even developed, let's take models with a grain of salt and not jump to too many conclusions, but the threat to North Carolina at this point is rather low. So there's no reason to worry at this point.


Image 2: Is a graphic I created to give you an idea how long it takes tropical systems to travel across the Atlantic Ocean (NOT A FORECAST), just an example. This location is 10-14 days away, and it may not even survive the trek across. There could be some enhanced moisture to parts of the Caribbean Islands which they very much need.


Over in the Pacific, there is an area of disturbed weather over 1k miles east southeast of the Hawaiian Islands that has a high chance of becoming a Tropical Depression or Storm. Interests in the Hawaiian Islands should closely


monitor the progress of this system.


I'll keep you posted all season long; nothing to worry about right now in NC!

Mountains

110°F

Raleigh area

CADEN NELSON

CADEN NELSON

DRYISH WEEK AHEAD WITH RAIN RETURNING END OF THE WEEK

Feb 24, 2019
1 min read

I hope you got outside and enjoyed the sunshine today, if not you still have two more days of full sunshine. Looking ahead to the workweek, we will have Monday-Wednesday dry and sunny with highs in the 50s and 60s. Thursday a coastal low will approach brining rain to parts of eastern NC. Friday another CAD (Cold Air Damming) event will occur Friday, so expect another day of rain and clouds on Friday. It will be nice to see drier days, cloudy skies will move back in Wednesday with partly cloudy skies. Thursday will be mostly cloudy with passing showers. Bottom line is Monday and Tuesday will be full days of sun, with Thursday and Friday showers and cloudy. Winter Weather, as we approach March it is not uncommon to see snow during the beginning of March. The sun tilt counties to move higher into the sky each day we get closer to spring, it will be much harder to see snow.

Here's a look at the 5 day forecasts across the state.









 
 
 

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