Tropical Update: The tropics are beginning to get more active. Watching!

ncwxauthority

August 11, 2026 at 2:20:12 PM

🌀 Tropical Update: Good afternoon, everyone. I'm sure everyone is sick of working on this fine Tuesday, so as you take your scroll break from work, I thought you'd love to read my tropical update. In true fashion as we head toward the start of schools/colleges, the tropics are coming alive, and this year is no different. I am, and forecasters at the National Hurricane Center are monitoring two main areas for potential tropical development in the Atlantic Ocean and two areas in the Pacific Ocean, with one showing a potential threat to Hawaii.

In the Atlantic, we have an area of disturbed weather in the North Atlantic moving away from the United States that has a low chance 20% of some Tropical Development over the next 5-7 days, but does not pose any threat to NC!

Down in the Main Development Region of the Atlantic, we've had several tropical waves that are moving off Africa over the next 5-10 days, and some are trying to show signs of development. There is now a 70% from the National Hurricane Center that a Tropical Depression or Storm will develop in this area. There remains high wind shear and dry air, so it'll face an uphill battle as it moves generally westward across the Atlantic. Since the system has not even developed, let's take models with a grain of salt and not jump to too many conclusions, but the threat to North Carolina at this point is rather low. So there's no reason to worry at this point.

Image 2: Is a graphic I created to give you an idea how long it takes tropical systems to travel across the Atlantic Ocean (NOT A FORECAST), just an example. This location is 10-14 days away, and it may not even survive the trek across. There could be some enhanced moisture to parts of the Caribbean Islands which they very much need.

Over in the Pacific, there is an area of disturbed weather over 1k miles east southeast of the Hawaiian Islands that has a high chance of becoming a Tropical Depression or Storm. Interests in the Hawaiian Islands should closely

monitor the progress of this system.

I'll keep you posted all season long; nothing to worry about right now in NC!

Mountains

110°F

Raleigh area

CADEN NELSON

DRY WEEK AHEAD, COASTAL LOW SATURDAY?

ncwxauthority
Nov 18, 2018
2 min read

A wonderful weekend weather wise is now coming to a close. Thanksgiving week will be very quite weather wise, some showers are possible Monday otherwise the rest of the week will be dry. If you have Holiday travel around NC it will be smooth sailing Wednesday and Friday, temperatures will start in the 60s Monday and Tuesday and cool into the 50s for the weekend of the week and Thanksgiving!

Monday: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny and fairly mild to start the week. Highs in the low to mid 60s. A few sprinkles or scattered light showers can't be ruled out through the morning, mainly for areas south and east of the Triangle along the Coast and eastern NC

Tuesday night a cold front will pass through the state. Cold air in the wake of the front will be slow to filter into North Carolina, but on Wednesday, temperatures will struggle to climb above the lower 50s. Plenty of sunshine and dry conditions will allow for good travel conditions across the region the day before Thanksgiving

Chilly temperatures will continue into Thanksgiving day with dry conditions and plenty of sunshine with high pressure over the state.

Costal Low Saturday? A wedge looks to be developing on Fri as cool and dry high pressure extends down from the north as coastal trough/ warm front begins to develop. This should help to increase clouds through Fri along the coast and possibly some warmer temps along the coast in a more on shore flow. By Fri night, a storm system moving across NC will deepen with mid to upper trough pushing a cold front east. This will help to kick warm front inland and north through Fri night into Sat along the coast, with plenty of clouds and showers spreading over NC for Saturday. Low pressure may develop on the tail end of this front as it runs up through the Southeast which may help to enhance showers and heavy rain on Saturday across the state.