DRY WEEK AHEAD, COASTAL LOW SATURDAY?
A wonderful weekend weather wise is now coming to a close. Thanksgiving week will be very quite weather wise, some showers are possible Monday otherwise the rest of the week will be dry. If you have Holiday travel around NC it will be smooth sailing Wednesday and Friday, temperatures will start in the 60s Monday and Tuesday and cool into the 50s for the weekend of the week and Thanksgiving!
Monday: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny and fairly mild to start the week. Highs in the low to mid 60s. A few sprinkles or scattered light showers can't be ruled out through the morning, mainly for areas south and east of the Triangle along the Coast and eastern NC
Tuesday night a cold front will pass through the state. Cold air in the wake of the front will be slow to filter into North Carolina, but on Wednesday, temperatures will struggle to climb above the lower 50s. Plenty of sunshine and dry conditions will allow for good travel conditions across the region the day before Thanksgiving
Chilly temperatures will continue into Thanksgiving day with dry conditions and plenty of sunshine with high pressure over the state.
Costal Low Saturday? A wedge looks to be developing on Fri as cool and dry high pressure extends down from the north as coastal trough/ warm front begins to develop. This should help to increase clouds through Fri along the coast and possibly some warmer temps along the coast in a more on shore flow. By Fri night, a storm system moving across NC will deepen with mid to upper trough pushing a cold front east. This will help to kick warm front inland and north through Fri night into Sat along the coast, with plenty of clouds and showers spreading over NC for Saturday. Low pressure may develop on the tail end of this front as it runs up through the Southeast which may help to enhance showers and heavy rain on Saturday across the state.
Below is two model solutions for Saturday, GFS and CMC. I'll have more updates later this week!