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Climate Prediction Center predicts above-normal hurricane season

Meteorologists at the Climate Prediction Center are predicting above-normal hurricane activity this season.

The 2024 Atlantic hurricane season, which begins on June 1 and ends on November 30, has an 85% chance of an above-normal season. To break it down NOAA is forecasting:

  • 17-25 total named storms (winds of 39+ MPH).

    • 8-13 are forecast to become hurricanes (winds of 74+ MPH)

    • 4-7 are expected to become major hurricanes (category 3 or higher; winds of 111+ MPH)

Forecasters say they have 70% confidence in this forecast.

In 2023, NOAA predicted 12-17 total named storms, 7-9 of which were to become hurricanes, including 1-4 major hurricanes. The 2023 Atlantic hurricane season went on to become the fourth-most active season on record. There were 20 named storms, 7 of which became hurricanes and, of those 7, 3 reached major hurricane strength.


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