Tropical Update: The tropics are beginning to get more active. Watching!

ncwxauthority

August 11, 2026 at 7:20:12 PM

🌀 Tropical Update: Good afternoon, everyone. I'm sure everyone is sick of working on this fine Tuesday, so as you take your scroll break from work, I thought you'd love to read my tropical update. In true fashion as we head toward the start of schools/colleges, the tropics are coming alive, and this year is no different. I am, and forecasters at the National Hurricane Center are monitoring two main areas for potential tropical development in the Atlantic Ocean and two areas in the Pacific Ocean, with one showing a potential threat to Hawaii.

In the Atlantic, we have an area of disturbed weather in the North Atlantic moving away from the United States that has a low chance 20% of some Tropical Development over the next 5-7 days, but does not pose any threat to NC!

Down in the Main Development Region of the Atlantic, we've had several tropical waves that are moving off Africa over the next 5-10 days, and some are trying to show signs of development. There is now a 70% from the National Hurricane Center that a Tropical Depression or Storm will develop in this area. There remains high wind shear and dry air, so it'll face an uphill battle as it moves generally westward across the Atlantic. Since the system has not even developed, let's take models with a grain of salt and not jump to too many conclusions, but the threat to North Carolina at this point is rather low. So there's no reason to worry at this point.

Image 2: Is a graphic I created to give you an idea how long it takes tropical systems to travel across the Atlantic Ocean (NOT A FORECAST), just an example. This location is 10-14 days away, and it may not even survive the trek across. There could be some enhanced moisture to parts of the Caribbean Islands which they very much need.

Over in the Pacific, there is an area of disturbed weather over 1k miles east southeast of the Hawaiian Islands that has a high chance of becoming a Tropical Depression or Storm. Interests in the Hawaiian Islands should closely

monitor the progress of this system.

I'll keep you posted all season long; nothing to worry about right now in NC!

Mountains

110°F

Raleigh area

CADEN NELSON

ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL BRING WIND CHILLS IN THE TEENS AND SINGLE DIGITS

ncwxauthority
Nov 10, 2019
2 min read

If you thought this past cold front was cold than lookout, the coldest air of the season will arrive Tuesday. Decades-old records will be challenged with windchills dropping in the teens and single digits. Another round of weather whiplash temperatures will crash 30-40° starting Tuesday. A vigorous cold front will move through late Monday night and Tuesday, ushering in the very cold air. Highs will struggle to get out of the 30s on Wednesday for many. Near-record cold expected Tuesday night and Wednesday.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny becoming mostly sunny and mild with highs in the 60s and 70s, if you like warm air than enjoy Monday!

COLD FRONT: The coldest air since February will arrive Tuesday afternoon through-Thursday. Tuesday will be one of those days where we start the day in the 50s/60s and finish the day in the 30s and 40s. Record cold is expected Tuesday night with dangerous wind chills. Snow is expected in the mountains (further down information on that) The cold front will bring a shock to the system from the 60s to the 20s and teens. Cold rain is expected on Tuesday.

Tuesday Night lows, bring in your pets and cover your farm animals. Make sure you prepare your home for subfreezing temperatures. Record cold is expected Tuesday night into Wednesday.

DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS: Windchills overnight Tuesday into Wednesday will be in the teens to below zero for many.

Wednesday highs will struggle to get out of the 30s and 40s for most, here's a look a the forecasted high temperatures.

Wednesday night we will see near record lows in the 20s and teens.

SNOW: The first real snowfall looks possible for the mountains and valleys of western NC Tuesday afternoon and overnight hours. This will be a northwest flow snow event, so the peaks in the High Country on the NC/TN border will see the most snow. This northwest flow event where the high elevations 3,000ft and above see snow. The valleys may see some flakes fly as well. Here's a look at where I believe you snow will fall. Amounts should be light, but some areas could pick up 1-3" of snow Tuesday night.