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Tropical Update: The tropics are beginning to get more active. Watching!

ncwxauthority

August 11, 2026 at 2:20:12 PM

🌀 Tropical Update: Good afternoon, everyone. I'm sure everyone is sick of working on this fine Tuesday, so as you take your scroll break from work, I thought you'd love to read my tropical update. In true fashion as we head toward the start of schools/colleges, the tropics are coming alive, and this year is no different. I am, and forecasters at the National Hurricane Center are monitoring two main areas for potential tropical development in the Atlantic Ocean and two areas in the Pacific Ocean, with one showing a potential threat to Hawaii.


In the Atlantic, we have an area of disturbed weather in the North Atlantic moving away from the United States that has a low chance 20% of some Tropical Development over the next 5-7 days, but does not pose any threat to NC!


Down in the Main Development Region of the Atlantic, we've had several tropical waves that are moving off Africa over the next 5-10 days, and some are trying to show signs of development. There is now a 70% from the National Hurricane Center that a Tropical Depression or Storm will develop in this area. There remains high wind shear and dry air, so it'll face an uphill battle as it moves generally westward across the Atlantic. Since the system has not even developed, let's take models with a grain of salt and not jump to too many conclusions, but the threat to North Carolina at this point is rather low. So there's no reason to worry at this point.


Image 2: Is a graphic I created to give you an idea how long it takes tropical systems to travel across the Atlantic Ocean (NOT A FORECAST), just an example. This location is 10-14 days away, and it may not even survive the trek across. There could be some enhanced moisture to parts of the Caribbean Islands which they very much need.


Over in the Pacific, there is an area of disturbed weather over 1k miles east southeast of the Hawaiian Islands that has a high chance of becoming a Tropical Depression or Storm. Interests in the Hawaiian Islands should closely


monitor the progress of this system.


I'll keep you posted all season long; nothing to worry about right now in NC!

Mountains

110°F

Raleigh area

CADEN NELSON

CADEN NELSON

RECORD COLD TEMPERATURES EXPECTED WITH BRUTAL WIND CHILLS

We had our first taste of winter weather today for some, as expected it was pretty much a nonevent outside the mountains. Our much talked about Arctic blast is now moving in, and temperatures are going to hit rock bottom. Along the coast today many of y'all were in the 70s, tonight is going to be a shock to the system for most.


Record cold temperatures are expected tonight for must, a crisp and clear night will let temperatures drop into the 20s/ teens/ and even single digits for some. A hard freeze expected for the entire state but the Outer Banks.

Please make sure you bring in your pets inside and prepare your homes for subfreezing temperatures.

Dangerous Wind Chills: While the temperatures on the thermometers will be cold, but the real feel once you factor in the wind chills are even colder. Please make sure you are dressed in layers before you head outside. A gusty wind will make it feel like the teens to below zero for many late tonight into Wednesday.

WEDNESDAY: The coldest day since last winter is expected today, many areas will struggle to get out of the 30s. Mostly sunny with highs in the 30s and 40s, the only saving grace is the winds will die down throughout the day.

Another very cold night is expected Wednesday night with near-record cold lows again.


Stay tuned for more updates from North Carolina's Weather Authority/ Facebook/ Website

 
 
 

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