top of page

​

Tropical Update: The tropics are beginning to get more active. Watching!

ncwxauthority

August 11, 2026 at 2:20:12 PM

🌀 Tropical Update: Good afternoon, everyone. I'm sure everyone is sick of working on this fine Tuesday, so as you take your scroll break from work, I thought you'd love to read my tropical update. In true fashion as we head toward the start of schools/colleges, the tropics are coming alive, and this year is no different. I am, and forecasters at the National Hurricane Center are monitoring two main areas for potential tropical development in the Atlantic Ocean and two areas in the Pacific Ocean, with one showing a potential threat to Hawaii.


In the Atlantic, we have an area of disturbed weather in the North Atlantic moving away from the United States that has a low chance 20% of some Tropical Development over the next 5-7 days, but does not pose any threat to NC!


Down in the Main Development Region of the Atlantic, we've had several tropical waves that are moving off Africa over the next 5-10 days, and some are trying to show signs of development. There is now a 70% from the National Hurricane Center that a Tropical Depression or Storm will develop in this area. There remains high wind shear and dry air, so it'll face an uphill battle as it moves generally westward across the Atlantic. Since the system has not even developed, let's take models with a grain of salt and not jump to too many conclusions, but the threat to North Carolina at this point is rather low. So there's no reason to worry at this point.


Image 2: Is a graphic I created to give you an idea how long it takes tropical systems to travel across the Atlantic Ocean (NOT A FORECAST), just an example. This location is 10-14 days away, and it may not even survive the trek across. There could be some enhanced moisture to parts of the Caribbean Islands which they very much need.


Over in the Pacific, there is an area of disturbed weather over 1k miles east southeast of the Hawaiian Islands that has a high chance of becoming a Tropical Depression or Storm. Interests in the Hawaiian Islands should closely


monitor the progress of this system.


I'll keep you posted all season long; nothing to worry about right now in NC!

Mountains

110°F

Raleigh area

CADEN NELSON

CADEN NELSON

March 1st, 2021 Forecast

The First Day of March, today will be a backwards day; take note, don't be caught by surprise temps will be the warmest this morning. Happy Monday, North Carolina! In true March fashion, we will have a strong cold front that will pass through the state, as March is known for cold fronts. We will start the day rather mild with temps in the 50s/60s and even 70s by late morning across the east, but that will not be the case starting from west to east late morning into the afternoon and evening. As the cold front works through, temperatures will drop for most of the state by mid-late afternoon temps will be in the 40s and 50s; some parts east might be warmer depending on how fast the front clears. So plan for colder temps; if you leave work or have plans this afternoon and evening, take a jacket with you. The temps below on the map represent the morning highs as our highs will occur quickly this morning before temps fall throughout the day. Today will be mostly cloudy with showers; likely should not be too much rain, but rain likely this morning from Raleigh west and expanding east by the late morning into the afternoon. The rain should end from west to east through the afternoon and evening, so not a complete washout but really not a nice day.



Comments

Don't Miss a Forecast

Subscribe to emails so you don't miss a thing!

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • Instagram

Thanks for subscribing!

bottom of page